Play the Total for Buccaneers vs. Browns Week 9 NFL Pick

Jeff Grant

Friday, October 31, 2014 6:14 PM GMT

The NFL betting public isn’t going to show an interest in the quarterback matchup between the Buccaneers and Browns, which is why the OVER is a top situational pick Sunday.

Miserable First Go Around
Tampa Bay wasn’t anticipating a 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS start under first-year head coach Lovie Smith, which is important to consider when looking over the NFL odds, as it hits the road looking to snap a three-game losing streak.

The Buccaneers are allowing a forgettable 409.9 yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks producing a remarkable 106.0 passer rating.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 3-10 SU and 5-8 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, with the OVER going 8-5 in that situation.

 

Hanging Tough
Cleveland has already matched its win total from a year ago, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL betting predictions, as the franchise enters November with an above .500 record for the first time in seven campaigns.

The Browns have produced a surprising 4-3 SU and 4-1-2 ATS record despite ranking 29th in the league in surrendering 395.6 yards per game, as the stop unit was expected to be their strength with star wide receiver Josh Gordon being suspended.

Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the team is 6-6 SU and 4-6-2 ATS as favorites, with the UNDER going 7-5 in those 12 opportunities.

 

Staying with Glennon
The Buccaneers offense simply hasn’t taken flight this season, with many experts around the league pointing out the fact that coordinator Jeff Tedford has been on indefinite medical leave since September.

Mike Glennon is expected to make his fifth start of the season, as Josh McCown continues to suffer from a thumb injury on his right throwing hand.  The former NC State star has completed just 56.8 percent of his passes when starting.

 

Keeping Manziel On the Sidelines
Brian Hoyer is connecting on just 57.3 percent of his passes attempts, which ranks next-to-last among pro football signal-callers, but he’s put together a 7-3 mark during his time under center for Sunday’s host.

Cleveland should be able to game plan a balanced offensive attack against Tampa Bay, especially since running back Ben Tate will face a team that’s been out-gained on the ground in six of seven games thus far.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their top NFL picks, as the OVER has cashed in all three of the Buccaneers road games in 2014.

Free NFL Pick:  Over 43.5 at bet365