Pick Texans To Earn ATS Victory Over Colts Thursday Night

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, October 8, 2014 1:04 PM GMT

The Houston Texans have a new head coach on the sidelines in 2014, which makes them a worthwhile NFL pick as a home underdog against the Indianapolis Colts Thursday.

Rolling Along
Indianapolis has put together a three-game winning streak since starting the year with an 0-2 SU record, as it comes off a 20-13 victory over the Baltimore Ravens as 2.5-point home favorites in Week 5.

The Colts are going to receive a majority of the action in this matchup as road favorites, considering they’ve won all seven of their previous games when featured on the NFL Network’s Thursday Night broadcast.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 12-2 SU and 11-2-1 ATS versus AFC South opponents, with the UNDER going 9-5 in that situation.

 

A Big Game
This will be Houston’s biggest game under first-year head coach Bill O’Brien to date, as it looks to improve upon its 2-0 SUATS home record, but those wins came against the Washington Redskins and Buffalo Bills.

The Texans have yet to allow a point in the first quarter this season, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL picks, especially since they’ve held Colts signal-caller Andrew Luck to a 50.4 completion percentage in four previous meetings.

It’s important to point out that the team is 0-2 SUATS as home underdogs of three or fewer points since the start of the 2012 campaign.

 

Offensive Juggernaut
Luck leads the league with 1,617 passing yards and 14 touchdowns through five weeks of the season, which has led directly to the Colts pacing the AFC in averaging 31.2 points per game.

Surprisingly enough, Indianapolis is a bit more balanced offensively in 2014, as it leads the NFL in holding the ball for 36:24 per game.

The Colts are the only team with two running backs who have at least 350 scrimmage yards apiece, with Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson totaling 401 and 372 respectively.

 

Ground Attack
Texans running back Arian Foster voiced his displeasure about playing on this primetime broadcast following a Sunday affair, but he’s also managed to total 343 yards and four touchdowns in three appearances.

Houston should find some running room against Indianapolis—a stop unit that has allowed opponents to average 4.6 yards per carry.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Texans as one of their Week 7 NFL predictions, as the home team has gone 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series.

NFL Pick:  Houston Texans +3 at Pinnacle

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