Pick 'Over' for Ravens vs. Saints Monday Night Football Betting

Jeff Grant

Thursday, November 20, 2014 6:20 PM GMT

Baltimore and New Orleans have demonstrated the ability to run the football in recent weeks, which will lead to the ‘Over’ cashing in this Monday Night Football matchup.

Off a Bye
Baltimore was a virtual automatic bet off a bye week under head coach John Harbaugh before suffering a 24-18 defeat to the Cleveland Browns last year in that spot, but it has an opportunity to improve upon its 5-1 SUATS mark in that situation.

The Ravens also benefit in facing another NFC South opponent, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL picks, as they’ve won and covered the number in their three previous opportunities in 2014.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 1-5 SUATS as road underdogs of three or fewer points, with the OVER cashing in four of those six affairs.

 

Time to Start Worrying
New Orleans hasn’t dropped three consecutive home games since the 2005 season, as it looks to bounce back from a pair of losses to San Francisco and Cincinnati as six and 8.5-point favorites respectively at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Saints benefit greatly from playing in the worst division in football, as they enter this week tied atop the NFC South standings with the Atlanta Falcons with a 4-6 SU record.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is a perfect 4-0 SUATS as favorites of three or fewer points at this venue since the 2012 campaign.

 

A Nice Surprise
The Ravens weren’t expected to have much of a running game after star Ray Rice was suspended by the league and removed from the roster, but they’ve gotten major contributions from other players.

Justin Forsett is leading the NFL by averaging 5.4 yards per carry, which will figure prominently in first-year coordinator Gary Kubiak’s game play, as the Saints have allowed opposing runners to average 4.8 yards a touch the last three weeks.

 

Getting It Done in Primetime
Saints quarterback Drew Brees is still one of the top players in the league, especially when featured on Monday Night Football, as he’s won nine of his last 10 games in this setting.

In those aforementioned contests, Brees has managed to throw 29 touchdowns and just five interceptions, which will fit nicely with running back Mark Ingram leading all running backs in rushing since Week 8.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their top value NFL picks, as the OVER is 5-1 in the Ravens’ last six road games, while the Saints have climbed above the number in four of its last five after suffering a loss by 14 or more points.

NFL Pick: Over 50 at Pinnacle

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