Pick Jets to Steamroll Titans for Week 15 NFL Betting

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, December 12, 2014 5:38 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 12, 2014 5:38 PM UTC

This week the Jets travel to face the Titans. Don't miss out as we bring you our choice Steamroller Game of the Week to include on your NFL picks for week 15 betting. 

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans 4:05 ET
Every week in the NFL Point Spread Prognosis Newsletter, I select one team which will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. We know that teams who outrush their opponent by 30+ yards are a 74% ATS winning play. As well, teams who run 30+ times in a game while their opponent does not, is an 82% point spread winner, while it is an 84% ATS proposition to play against a team who runs for 22 or fewer times in a game, if our team does not. This type of thinking has resulted in a 10-4 ATS record on NFL STEAMROLLERS this season. Two weeks ago, Houston steamrolled this very Tennessee defense in a 45-21 victory. Last week, for my NFL picks, I again used Houston to Steamroll the Jags. They obeyed with a 173-74 overland yardage edge in a 27-13 win and cover.

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This week, we go back to fading that Titan’s defense, which is among the worst in the league. For the season, Tennessee allows teams to run 33 times per game, highest in the league. They are also outrushed by a margin of 142-86 per game. Compare that to the Jets’ running numbers, which finds an offense that averages 32 rushes per game, while outrushing their opponents 150/4.7 to 87/3.5. If HC Ryan has learned one thing this season, it is to keep the ball out of the hands of his Quarterbacks. Again last week, despite outrushing Minnesota 168-114, the Jets threw a pick 6 that ended the game in OT. I’m fully aware that it is not easy to back a New York team who is 0-6 SU away for the season, but the Titans are quickly becoming the worst team in the league. Dating to last year, this team is on a 3-16 ATS slide. This year, they are 2-11 SU on a 7 game losing streak. They are also just 1-5 SU ATS on their home field after absorbing a 36-7 smashing by the Giants here last week. In that game, they were outrushed by the New Yorkers 142-61 and outgained 402-207. To say that Tennessee has tossed the towel would be an understatement. They enter today at 0-3 SU ATS, being outscored 124-52 in those three games, while failing to the point spread by a combined 54 points.

In a game between 2-11 SU teams, each of whom is going nowhere, we back the dominant running game and running defense as the Jets cruise to their first road victory of the year by a surprisingly comfortable double-digit margin on the NFL odds

Free NFL picks: New York Jets -2.5 at 5Dimes

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