Pick Coaches Who Want to Win in NFL Week 1

Jordan Sharp

Monday, August 4, 2014 2:47 PM GMT

Every coach wants to win, but some take the preseason a lot differently than others. First year head coaches probably always want to win their first game, but last season first year coaches were only 2-4 SU in Week 1 of the preseason. However these three coaches are almost always a good NFL Odds bet in Week 1 of fake football.

John Harbaugh – 49ers vs. Ravens
Not only does John Harbaugh want to get off to a good start this season, but also he is playing at home, and the coach on the other side of the field happens to be his little brother. Anyone who has a little brother knows how satisfying it is when he challenges you, and you win. On the flip side, little brother’s are always trying to best their elder siblings. However for this matchup, despite the fact that Jim Harbaugh is 6-2 SU in the last two preseason combined, I think John could be the better play here. The NFL Odds have the Ravens and Niners even as a pick em’ in this contest, with a total of 35 points. However in his career with the Ravens, John Harbaugh is 5-1 SU in Week 1 of the preseason.

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John Fox – Seahawks vs. Broncos
Speaking of motivation, how much does playing against the team that beat them in the Super Bowl stack up in importance to the Broncos?  I would say probably a lot, and even though Peyton Manning and company might only be in the game for one or two series, you can bet they will test this new-look secondary with some three and four wide receiver sets. The NFL Odds for this game favor the Broncos at -1, with a larger total of 37 points. On top of the Broncos wanting to beat the Seahawks just to get some sort of retribution, head coach, John Fox, is a wizard in the first week of the preseason, winning eight of his 12 Week 1 Preseason games. In front of their home fans for the first time since the AFC Title game, there will not be a shortage of motivation for any of the Broncos. However, I should mention that Fox’s opponent, Pete Carroll, is 4-0 SU in his career in Week 1.

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Bill Belichick – Patriots vs. Redskins
The Patriots and more specifically, Tom Brady have been flying relatively under the radar this offseason. Plus all of the talk around Brady seems to be very speculative and negative. This may be the optimal time to find value in New England, because somewhat quietly they have built one of the best teams in the NFL. In Week 1 versus the Redskins, the Patriots are a +1 ½ NFL Odds underdog, with a total of 37. The Redskins are under a new coaching regime, but the power of Bill Belichick may be too powerful to overcome for Jay Gruden and company. In Week 1 of the preseason Belichick is 11-4 SU in his career. With an offense that is so deep, plenty of Patriots are going to see the field against second, and potentially third string defenses. As an underdog in the NFL Odds, Belichick’s Patriots look like a solid Week 1 preseason betting pick. 

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