After a season in 2012 the Eagles would love to forget, 2013 was kind to the Eagles and their fans. However after a season of winning the division, can we expect the same from 2014’s Eagles? Their NFL Odds seem to think so.
Super Bowl (+2500)
Although the Eagles’ Super Bowl price from Bovada is fair and possibly a value, it doesn’t hold the same kind of glamour it once did. Even at +2500, the Eagles might be overvalued in the NFL Odds, especially if they regress from their record last season. No one is being taken by surprise by the Eagles this season. If Nick Foles and LeSean McCoy both have huge seasons again, no one is going to be shocked by it. Chip Kelly’s offense is here to stay in the NFL, however now that teams have 16 games worth of film on said offense, it’s going to be a little easier to predict, and subsequently stop. That being said, if the team isn’t as good as it was a year ago, these NFL Odds are probably overvalued. The Eagles lost some key players this offseason on both sides of the ball.
While their chances to win the NFC are solid, the Eagles find themselves behind five other NFC teams in the NFL Odds to win their conference. This can be attributed to a few reasons, however the most prevalent is that the NFC is really good. If the Eagles were in the AFC I would say these NFL Odds are a steal, but with five or six other teams to compete with for the conference crown, the Eagles’ value suddenly shrinks. They did very little to address their weak secondary from last season. Malcolm Jenkins will start as one-half of a completely remade safety unit, however Bradley Fletcher and Cary Williams are still holding down things at corner. If safety play is really what killed the Eagles’ pass defense last year, then they have upgraded, however if it was more than just the play at safety, I’m afraid the Eagles have moved laterally on defense. That’s not great for a team that was 32nd in pass defense in 2013.
NFC East (+130)
However even though it might be a stretch to think the Eagles could best the likes of the Seahawks, 49ers or Packers in the playoffs, winning their division is an entirely different story. The NFC East may be one of the weakest divisions in football this year, and 9-7 may just win it outright. It is very reasonable to think that Philadelphia could win this division again in 2013, however all of the other teams will be improved in 2014. The Cowboys’ defense may be bad but their offense will be very good. The Redskins might just be as good as they were in 2012, which could be a problem, and the Giants may be much improved as well. For the Eagles, this offseason feels eerily similar to 2012. Philly was a huge favorite with the Redskins as big underdogs, and the Eagles only won four games while the Redskins won the division. I doubt it goes to that extreme in 2014, however of all four teams in the division, the Eagles may be the most overvalued, while the Skins seem undervalued at +400. It’s just a feeling, but unless you’re getting a little better price than +130, I wouldn’t touch the Eagles at Bovada.