Patriots' WR Chris Hogan Props Look Like Value-Laden Spot

Kevin Stott

Monday, January 30, 2017 6:23 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 30, 2017 6:23 PM UTC

Seldom is there much variance in the numbers put up by sportsbooks these fast-moving, technology-driven times, but the Props out for Super Bowl 51 shows some significant differences in the numbers from sportsbook to sportsbook. Let’s look at the number for Patriots WR Chris Hogan in four of these markets.

Deep Dive On Patriots Wide Receiver Chris Hogan’s Super Bowl Props

Offshore sportsbooks now all have their Props Bets out for Super Bowl LI between Matt Ryan and the NFC champion Atlanta Falcons with Tom Brady and the AFC champion New England Patriots. After looking at First Super Bowl TD Scorer, Super Bowl MVP and some Team Props, let’s concentrate on the undervalued New England WR Chris Hogan and bank on him having another huge game with a hopeful TD (or two) to show for his hard work. 


Total Receiving Yards by Chris Hogan

A look at some other totals in this market reveals South Point (58½), William Hill (70½), CG Technology (69½) and the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook (59½) all with higher numbers than Bovada’s and with the Falcons’ suspect Pass Defense (#28 Passing Yards, 266.7 ypg), a likely high-scoring game and Hogan likely to be a huge part of New England offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels’ game plan.


Free NFL Pick: Over 52½ -110Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Total Receptions by Chris Hogan 

With Hogan getting twice as many catches last week (9) as the posted number here against a tougher Defense (Steelers). Expect the sure-handed, 28-year-old Receiver—as well as teammate Julian Edelman—to be targeted at least 10 times in this game being played in the friendly weatherproof confines of Houston’s NRG Stadium on Sunday (FOX, 6:30 EST).


Free NFL Pick: Over 4½ 125Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Will Chris Hogan Score a Touchdown? 

The healthiest plus price in the market for Super Bowl 51 for this Prop looks like the +175 at Bovada with CG Technology (+160), the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook (+120) and William Hill (+130) all checking in considerably lower. Patriots QB Tom Brady targeted the 6-1, 220-pound Hogan a robust 12 times against the Steelers in the AFC Finals last weekend with the former Bills WR finishing with 9 Receptions for 180 yards and 2 TDs in the win.


Free NFL Pick: Yes +175Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Chris Hogan Longest Reception 

Bovada is hanging a 22½, the SuperBook a 23½ (Over -110) while CG Technology had a 29½ (Over -145) posted on this Props bet, showing the variance between sportsbooks Offshore and her in Las vegas on some of these Super Bowl 51 props and actually creating a healthy middle opportunity should Hogan’s longest Reception end up being between 21 and 29 yards.


Free NFL Pick: Over 20½ -110Best Line Offered: at South Point


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