With the NFL Draft in the rearview mirror, teams largely know what rosters they will be bringing into the 2017 regular season. The first win totals for the coming season have been released by South Point in Las Vegas. Let’s take a look.
To no surprise, the New England Patriots, the clear NFL betting favorites to win Super Bowl LII on the first Sunday of February 2018 in Minneapolis, have a 2017 regular-season wins total of 11 (update: early action already has pushed it to 11.5) that’s the highest in the league. Somehow it appears the reigning champs got even better this offseason with trades for receiver Brandin Cook, tight end Dwyane Allen and defensive end Kony Ealy along with re-signing top linebacker Dont’a Hightower. It also now is pretty clear the Patriots are going to keep backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo since he wasn’t traded at the draft. Now they have insurance should Tom Brady go down injured.
A few Vegas sportsbooks released odds for every game in the 2017 season and the Patriots were favored on all of them. That’s thought to be a first. The Pats, 14-2 last year, have topped 11 wins in each of their past seven seasons.
The only other teams with double-digit win totals are the Pittsburgh Steelers (10.5), Green Bay Packers (10), reigning NFC champion Atlanta Falcons (10) and Seattle Seahawks (10.5). The Patriots host the Falcons in Week 7 and visit the Steelers in Week 15. That might be the only game where New England is an underdog. I’m a bit surprised that the Oakland Raiders don’t have a higher total of 9.5 wins. Perhaps they are being penalized by oddmakers because of their lame-duck status in Oakland and playing one home game – against New England in Week 11 – in Mexico City.
The team with the fewest wins is Cleveland with four (update: early action has pushed this to 4.5). The Browns opted not to take a quarterback in the first round of the 2017 draft and presumably will be starting either Cody Kessler, Kevin Hogan or Brock Osweiler to open the season. Second-round pick DeShone Kizer out of Notre Dame isn’t considered close to being ready for the NFL. Will the Browns be favored once in 2017? I give them maybe two chances, both at home: Week 5 vs. the Jets and Week 11 vs. Jacksonville.
Cleveland was 1-15 last season and has topped four wins just four times since 2007. The last was at 7-9 in 2014. Here’s a look at all the win totals.Bet On NFL Futures At SBR's Top Sportsbooks