NFL Parlay Picks Week 11: Backing Three Underdogs Yet Again
After coming up a bit short last week, we are back with another three-leg parlay for Sunday’s slate. We are backing three underdogs once again, read on for our NFL Week 11 parlay picks.
Week 11 of the NFL season has arrived, and there are a few interesting matchups in store for us this weekend.
Our all-underdog parlay in Week 10 came up one leg short, thanks to the Cleveland Browns (+3.5) getting blown out by the Miami Dolphins. But a 2-1 clip should still have put some money in your pocket, assuming you placed straight bets on the three legs as well.
Let’s try to get this parlay home, using similar logic to last weekend. Here are our NFL Week 11 parlay picks (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook) for Sunday.
NFL Week 11 Parlay Picks
Detroit Lions +3 (-114)
The Lions were one of the winning legs last week, so it only makes sense to go back to Dan Campbell’s squad as an underdog. Detroit was a field-goal underdog before securing an outright win over the Chicago Bears last weekend.
In Campbell’s first season at the helm, Detroit covered the spread in double-digit games and made bettors a lot of money. Even with the market a bit higher on the Lions this year, they have produced a 5-4 ATS clip and covered the number in back-to-back games.
Yet this pick is more of a fade of the Giants, who are a bit overvalued after their 7-2 start to the season. They currently only have a +14 point differential, and are coming off a 24-16 win over the Houston Texans. The Lions might very well emerge victorious on Sunday, but we are certainly betting against the Giants winning by more than a field goal.
Chicago Bears +3 (-104)
Now to the team knocked off by the Lions last week, this is the ideal time to buy the Bears. Chicago squandered a double-digit lead in a 31-30 loss to Detroit. The Bears know they let one slip away against a division rival.
The Bears have been humming on offense of late, thanks in large part to the play of second-year quarterback Justin Fields. Chicago has scored at least 29 points in four consecutive contests. This team has the firepower to make any game competitive.
Atlanta cannot say the same thing, as it has failed to score more than 17 points in back-to-back outings. The last time we saw the Falcons, they suffered an ugly 25-17 loss to the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football. The Bears could win this game outright, but we do like the idea of playing this team as an underdog.
Los Angeles Chargers +6.5 (-108)
Similar to last week, the final leg of the parlay will come down to Sunday Night Football. And we are once against backing the Los Angeles Chargers as an underdog. Hey, this formula almost worked last week.
The Chargers covered the 7-point spread in a 22-16 road loss to the San Francisco 49ers last weekend. Los Angeles should remain within striking distance against a division rival at home this week. A lot has changed since Week 2, but it is important to note the Chargers were a 4-point underdog in a road meeting with the Chiefs, which was a game they arguably should have won.
Kansas City is also constantly overvalued in the market, because it has the best quarterback in the league under center. You have to pay a premium to bet on the Chiefs, who are just 3-5-1 against the spread this season. They haven’t covered as a favorite of more than a field goal since the season opener.
Where to Bet on NFL Parlay Picks
NFL Week 11 parlay pick made 11/9/2022 at 11:50 a.m. ET
Related Articles
