If at first you don’t succeed ... you know the drill. Let’s try another chalky 3-teamer from the Week 8 Sunday schedule and back the Patriots, Cowboys and Steelers, who are all coming in off wins (and covers) and starting to play some decent football.
QB Philip Rivers (34-18-1 ATS as Road Underdog, 2-0-1 ATS in 2017) and the Chargers (3-4 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) face the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) in this AFC inter-divisional game on Sunday which seems more like it should have more like a 10-point line with the Patriots playing better on Defense last week and the Chargers playing 3 Time Zones earlier than their Body Clocks (PT to ET) and after traveling a mammoth 3,045 miles. So, a real Circadian Rhythm advantage to Tom Brady (79-54 ATS at Home, 1-3 ATS in 2017) and the hosts, who opened up as 6½-point Favorites (-105, BetOnline) for this game and who have already been bet up to 7½ at most Offshores with 5Dimes being the outlier and already moving the game to Patriots -9.
Even though this game will probably be a little more important to the visiting Chargers (275/1 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes), despite how well the other three teams in the AFC East have started and that perceived pressure they may be putting on New England (-625 to win AFC East, YouWager), the Patriots and Bill Belichick (177-128-8 ATS) will want to continue to play like they did in Week 7 (soundly beating the Falcons in a Super Bowl rematch) and establish some consistency heading into the 2nd Half of the Regular Season. The Trends show the Patriots (+507 to win Super Bowl, BookMaker) to be 3-0 ATS the L3 against the the Bolts and 5-2 ATS L7 vs. SD since 1992 with the last meeting a 23-14 New England win in San Diego in 2015 with New England covering ATS as 4-point Road Favorites. Dion Lewis and the Patriots (+276 to win AFC, Pinnacle) should win by double digits in this spot.Predicted Final Score: Patriots 30, Chargers 17Parlay Leg 1 NFL Pick: Patriots -7½
Dallas Cowboys (-2½) at Washington Redskins
This NFC East collision between the Cowboys and Redskins on Sunday afternoon saw a flip-flop at Open on Sunday, with the host Redskins opening up 1½-point Favorites with Sharp money quickly making the Cowboys the game’s Favorite with the line currently at -1 (-125, 5Dimes) to 2½ most places with a strong 61.5% of Wagers Placed (Consensus) on Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys (+1362 to win NFC, Pinnacle). With Dallas still under FG chalk, using it in the second leg of a 2-team NFL Parlay seems wise despite Washington’s need for the win and the Redskins (+4235 to win Super Bowl, Pinnacle) an impressive and profitable 10-4 ATS the L14 in this historic NFC East series.
So why? Washington will come in on just 5 Days of Rest after losing a tough one at Philadelphia on Monday, 34-24 (PHIL -10) to fall to 3-3 — the same Record the Cowboys (2-1 Road) have. This one should evolve into a shootout with Redskins QB Kirk Cousins and Prescott both having big statistical days. The Cowboys won in this spot last season in Week 2, 27-23 (WASH -3) and have beaten Washington 4 of the L5 SU, winning at Arlington in Week 17 in 2015, 34-23 (DAL -3, 44).Predicted Final Score: Cowboys 36, Redskins 26Parlay Leg 2 NFL Pick: Cowboys -2½
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Detroit Lions
This Week 8 inter-conference affair from the Motor City should be good viewing, with RB Le’Veon Bell and the Steelers (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) facing Matthew Stafford (24-31 ATS at Home) and the Lions (3-3 SU/ATS) under the prime-time lights. The current consensus shows although QB Ben Roethlisberger (53-48 ATS on Road) and popular Public team Pittsburgh have gotten 56.1% of the Wagers Placed and that the Steelers have received more of the money ($14,330-$12,390, 53.64%) than Detroit, the Lions' Average Bet Size is currently larger than Pittsburgh’s ($70 to $64). There should be a continued mix of good action on this game with a rush of predictably late money with it being the Sunday Night Football game.
The Trends reveal Pittsburgh (12/1 to win the Super Bowl, BookMaker) to be 0-2 ATS the L2 meetings and 2-5 ATS since 1992 vs. the Lions (52/1 to win the Super Bowl, Heritage) although superstar WR Antonio Brown and the Steelers are 6-1 SU when these teams have played. Detroit (3-4 ATS at Home, 4-7 ATS as Underdog on Sunday nights) is a profitable 3-1 ATS the L4 in Motown. But Pittsburgh and Head Coach Mike Tomlin (91-85-5 ATS) tasted how god playing back-to-back good games felt after handing the Chiefs their first Loss in Week 6 and then caging the Bengals in Week 7 to avoid a 4-3 conundrum. With Bell saying he wants he football as much as possible, expect Tomlin to oblige and for Bell to explode for 200 yards here. The Steelers (12-14 ATS on Road on Sunday night) are a volcano starting to spew black and gold lava.Predicted Final Score: Steelers 30, Lions 20Parlay Leg 3 Pick: Steelers -2½