Parlay Marquee Patriots, Cowboys & Steelers for Profit in Week 8

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, October 25, 2017 4:20 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 25, 2017 4:20 PM UTC

If at first you don’t succeed ... you know the drill. Let’s try another chalky 3-teamer from the Week 8 Sunday schedule and back the Patriots, Cowboys and Steelers, who are all coming in off wins (and covers) and starting to play some decent football.

Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots (-7½)

QB Philip Rivers (34-18-1 ATS as Road Underdog, 2-0-1 ATS in 2017) and the Chargers (3-4 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) face the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) in this AFC inter-divisional game on Sunday which seems more like it should have more like a 10-point line with the Patriots playing better on Defense last week and the Chargers playing 3 Time Zones earlier than their Body Clocks (PT to ET) and after traveling a mammoth 3,045 miles. So, a real Circadian Rhythm advantage to Tom Brady (79-54 ATS at Home, 1-3 ATS in 2017) and the hosts, who opened up as 6½-point Favorites (-105, BetOnline) for this game and who have already been bet up to 7½ at most Offshores with 5Dimes being the outlier and already moving the game to Patriots -9.

Even though this game will probably be a little more important to the visiting Chargers (275/1 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes), despite how well the other three teams in the AFC East have started and that perceived pressure they may be putting on New England (-625 to win AFC East, YouWager), the Patriots and Bill Belichick (177-128-8 ATS) will want to continue to play like they did in Week 7 (soundly beating the Falcons in a Super Bowl rematch) and establish some consistency heading into the 2nd Half of the Regular Season. The Trends show the Patriots (+507 to win Super Bowl, BookMaker) to be 3-0 ATS the L3 against the the Bolts and 5-2 ATS L7 vs. SD since 1992 with the last meeting a 23-14 New England win in San Diego in 2015 with New England covering ATS as 4-point Road Favorites. Dion Lewis and the Patriots (+276 to win AFC, Pinnacle) should win by double digits in this spot.

Predicted Final Score: Patriots 30, Chargers 17Parlay Leg 1 NFL Pick: Patriots -7½


Dallas Cowboys (-2½) at Washington Redskins

This NFC East collision between the Cowboys and Redskins on Sunday afternoon saw a flip-flop at Open on Sunday, with the host Redskins opening up 1½-point Favorites with Sharp money quickly making the Cowboys the game’s Favorite with the line currently at -1 (-125, 5Dimes) to 2½ most places with a strong 61.5% of Wagers Placed (Consensus) on Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys (+1362 to win NFC, Pinnacle). With Dallas still under FG chalk, using it in the second leg of a 2-team NFL Parlay seems wise despite Washington’s need for the win and the Redskins (+4235 to win Super Bowl, Pinnacle) an impressive and profitable 10-4 ATS the L14 in this historic NFC East series.

So why? Washington will come in on just 5 Days of Rest after losing a tough one at Philadelphia on Monday, 34-24 (PHIL -10) to fall to 3-3 — the same Record the Cowboys (2-1 Road) have. This one should evolve into a shootout with Redskins QB Kirk Cousins and Prescott both having big statistical days. The Cowboys won in this spot last season in Week 2, 27-23 (WASH -3) and have beaten Washington 4 of the L5 SU, winning at Arlington in Week 17 in 2015, 34-23 (DAL -3, 44).

Predicted Final Score: Cowboys 36, Redskins 26Parlay Leg 2 NFL Pick: Cowboys -2½


Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Detroit Lions

This Week 8 inter-conference affair from the Motor City should be good viewing, with RB Le’Veon Bell and the Steelers (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) facing Matthew Stafford (24-31 ATS at Home) and the Lions (3-3 SU/ATS) under the prime-time lights. The current consensus shows although QB Ben Roethlisberger (53-48 ATS on Road) and popular Public team Pittsburgh have gotten 56.1% of the Wagers Placed and that the Steelers have received more of the money ($14,330-$12,390, 53.64%) than Detroit, the Lions' Average Bet Size is currently larger than Pittsburgh’s ($70 to $64). There should be a continued mix of good action on this game with a rush of predictably late money with it being the Sunday Night Football game.

The Trends reveal Pittsburgh (12/1 to win the Super Bowl, BookMaker) to be 0-2 ATS the L2 meetings and 2-5 ATS since 1992 vs. the Lions (52/1 to win the Super Bowl, Heritage) although superstar WR Antonio Brown and the Steelers are 6-1 SU when these teams have played. Detroit (3-4 ATS at Home, 4-7 ATS as Underdog on Sunday nights) is a profitable 3-1 ATS the L4 in Motown. But Pittsburgh and Head Coach Mike Tomlin (91-85-5 ATS) tasted how god playing back-to-back good games felt after handing the Chiefs their first Loss in Week 6 and then caging the Bengals in Week 7 to avoid a 4-3 conundrum. With Bell saying he wants he football as much as possible, expect Tomlin to oblige and for Bell to explode for 200 yards here. The Steelers (12-14 ATS on Road on Sunday night) are a volcano starting to spew black and gold lava.

Predicted Final Score: Steelers 30, Lions 20Parlay Leg 3 Pick: Steelers -2½
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