Parlay Fever: Max Betting Experience On Saturday's WC Games

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Parlay Fever: Max Betting Experience On Saturday's WC Games

Indianapolis (10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) at Houston (11-5 SU, 7-6-3 ATS)

Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC)

Free NFL Picks: Colts and Under

Best Lines: 5Dimes

The NFL odds have Houston dropping from -2.5 to -1 as of Thursday night. A sample of handicappers picks on the interweb and websites that have public betting results on particular games, have both running at about 2-to-1 on Indianapolis. Though the Texans come into this contest on 11-2 after a 0-3 start, the edge they had during their nine-game winning streak seems lost. The Colts, on the other hand, have won nine of 10 and send out the vibe of a team still peaking.

Concerning the total of 48, both teams were Top 11 in scoring and Top 10 in fewest points allowed. Given the gravity of the game and relying on the run when they are at their best, the UNDER makes the most sense.

Final Score: Indianapolis 24-20

The Colts and Texans Teasers and First Half Wagering

This is what a 6-point teaser on the side and total would look like for this contest:

  • Side Teaser: Indianapolis +7 or Houston +5
  • Totals Teaser: Over 42 or Under 54

From a pure handicapping perspective, Indianapolis at +7 is the wise play because you go past key numbers like 3 and 6 and have a safeguard built in on 7. Based on our projected score, the possibility exists either team could be correct for this teaser, but we’ll side with the value.

The Under 54 total fits nicely and adds a buffer for two teams that are 5-1 UNDER in recent meetings.

As far as first half wagering against the NFL odds, this system is sharp. Play UNDER on teams like Indy after going under the total by 35 or more points in their last five games, who have won 60% to 75% of games played, facing a team with a winning record. (25-7, since 2014).

The Colts vs. Texans Side Prop Bets

NFL Wild Card Weekend: Top Passer
Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson are the two top choices and we will stick with Luck at +225 since he’s thrown for over 380 yards in each contest this year.

NFL Wild Card Weekend: Top Receiver
From a pure value perspective, T.Y. Hilton at +600 is a nice choice, but he’s lacking in explosiveness with a gimpy ankle. Though Andre Hopkins is the obvious choice at +450, how do you bet against him?

NFL Wild Card: Indianapolis Colts Triplets – Andrew Luck, Marlon Mack & T.Y. Hilton O/U 465.5 Total Yards
The total is juiced up 13 yards based on the success Luck had against Houston this season, but seeing this is the third battle, let’s support the UNDER believing the Texans have an improved defensive plan.

Seattle (10-6 SU, 9-5-2 ATS) at Dallas (10-6 SU, 8-6-2 ATS)

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (FOX)

Free NFL Picks: Cowboys and Under

Best Lines: Pinnacle

In the Saturday night contest for the NFL Wild Card Playoff, we saw Dallas open at -3, go to -1.5 and in our last look, they are at -2, with a total of 43. This matchup screams close and that is how the wagering public essentially sees it with just over 55 percent backing Seattle.

Dallas favored by a field goal meant the game was basically a Pick, however, with the adjusted line, it would appear the wagering masses have more faith in the combo of Russell Wilson and Peter Carroll, compared to Dak Prescott and Jason Garrett. While on the surface that might be true, the Cowboys are the better defensive team and they are a sharp 7-1 SU and home this season.

With the total at 43, a 23-20 final score makes all the sense in the world. We are going to go a touch lower not believing we will see as many field goals and more defensive stops and take the UNDER.

Final Score: Dallas 24-17

The Seahawks and Cowboys Teasers and First Half Wagering

This is what a 6-point teaser on the side and total would look like for this contest:

  • Side Teaser: Seattle +6.5 or Dallas +4.5
  • Totals Teaser: Over 37 or Under 49

Frankly, we don’t see anything wrong with either side for the teaser and from a value standpoint, Seattle offers more at +6.5 when using key numbers as your guide. Nevertheless, because we picked Dallas and the above score, that is our preference. At the same time, we are confident in the Over 37 but have no real issue with someone preferring the Under either.

For a first half bet, the Boys get the call with a 12-4 ATS mark at home and is 10-2 ATS when facing NFC competition.

The Seahawks vs. Cowboys Side Prop Bets

NFL Wild Card Weekend: Top Rusher
While it is no fun to keep taking the chalk, not sure how you pick against Ezekiel Elliot at +300, though Lamar Jackson is a fun choice at +1000.

Most Passing Yards – Wilson vs. Prescott
Based on the regular season Prescott is justified at -150, but if we are correct and Seattle is trailing, Wilson at +110 will get the call.

Will Either Team Score 3 Straight Times w/o Other Team Scoring (Conversions Excluded)
Given the spread of this matchup, surprised to see ‘Yes’ at -200 and will call for more back and forth and take ‘No’ at +160.