Panthers vs. Titans NFL Picks: Take Carolina to Win & Cover ATS

Nikki Adams

Saturday, November 14, 2015 7:50 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 14, 2015 7:50 PM UTC

The Carolina Panthers look to improve to 9-0 SU when they take on the Tennessee Titans on the road. Can they pull off the monumental feat? Here is our NFL betting preview complete with NFL picks.

Panthers (8-0 SU, 3-0 SU Away)
The Carolina Panthers put an 8-0 SU record on the line when they descend on the 2-6 SU Tennessee Titans in week 10 NFL betting. Surprisingly, the NFL betting lines for this game aren’t as lopsided as one would expect given the pair’s contrasting fortunes on the season.

Panthers are coming off a statement-making win over the Green Bay Packers at home, a 37-29 win as the home underdogs that goes a long way towards underscoring their credentials as viable NFC contenders. Earlier in the season, they defied the NFL odds with another eyebrow-raising 27-23 win over the Seattle Seahawks as the road underdogs.

In fact, since winning at CenturyLink Field, the Panthers have reeled off four wins at the expense of respectable sides including the Philadelphia Eagles, Indianapolis Colts and Green Bay Packers – some of the teams many preseason NFL bettors spotted on their Super Bowl 50 NFL picks.

Yet, in spite of these commendable results, it doesn’t feel as if the Panthers are getting the appropriate respect in NFL betting markets. They are merely the -200 favorites to win straight up and only the 3.5-to-4-point road chalk at most sportsbook platforms. Granted they opened as the 6-point favorites only for the line to be slashed in half over the course of the week. That suggests the public didn’t agree with the line the bookies came out with and they had to move the lines in order to balance the action.

Not only are the Carolina Panthers 8-0 SU but they are also 6-2-0 ATS on the season, which is the third best ATS record after Cincinnati and Minnesota after nine weeks of football betting. Those marks include a 7.9-point winning margin on the season and covering by an average of plus 5.6-differential. Only three games were close affairs, decided by five points or less, and featured established teams and household names. These were New Orleans Saints, Seattle Seahawks and Indianapolis. The remaining five games were decided by seven points or more, three of which were double-digit wins and included wins over No.1 draft pick Jameis Winston (37-23) and second-year quarterback Blake Bortles (20-9). The last two are particularly relevant in this matchup which features No.2 draft pick Marcus Mariota.


Titans (2-6 SU, 0-4 Home)
It may not be so much a gesture of disrespect for the Panthers as an indication of the public being high on Marcus Mariota. Particularly after the rookie quarterback led the Titans to an overtime win over the Saints on the road in his first game coming off injury – a win that also snapped a six-game losing streak by the Titans and saw them improve to 2-6 SU. To be fair, there was some luck involved in that win. One could also argue it was a reaction to the firing of Ken Whisenhunt – there’s a case to be had about teams responding well and playing hard in the first game (or two) with a new coach. Why we’ve seen it with Dan Campbell and the Dolphins only a few weeks ago.

Fact is the Tennessee Titans are pretty average when you consider the league’s stats ranking in mid-to-lower statistical obscurity. Undoubtedly, the future does look bright with a talented rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota, but it’s going to take some time for this team to develop a proper identity under its new talisman.

Crucially, the Titans have yet to win a home game this season. They are 0-4 SU in Nashville and 2-2 ATS with an 8.5 losing margin and a minus 7.2-point cover differential. Hardly endorsing stats for the Titans to encourage a wager on them as the short home underdogs, never mind the outright upset.


NFL Betting Verdict
Many NFL experts and panellists are suggesting this game is a tough one to call. For our money, it’s the exact opposite. The Panthers are much better than many are willing to concede. More importantly, they should be better favoured than they are right now. They might not be playing the prettiest football, but whatever it is they are doing it is working. They are winning games. In the words of their leader Super Cam, they just want to ‘keep on winning.’ Winning becomes a mind-set. It becomes a habit almost and you forget how to lose. Take the Panthers on your NFL picks to win and cover.

NFL Picks: Panthers -200 at BetDSI and -3.5 (-110) at BetDSI

comment here