Panthers Streak Ends at Home: Bet Packers -2.5 as Your Week 9 NFL Pick

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, November 3, 2015 6:04 PM GMT

NFC South team Carolina Panthers host NFC North leader Green Bay. Will Panthers continue their winning streak or will the short week take its toll on them? Join for an odds analysis and free NFL pick.

Broncos Made Rodgers Look Bad
Green Bay was part of only the fourth meeting in NFL history of 6-0 teams on Sunday, and that high-powered Packers offense was totally shut down in Denver as the Broncos rolled 29-10. Aaron Rodgers' NFL MVP candidacy took a bit of a hit as he threw for just 77 yards (77!!) on 22 attempts, completing 14 of them. It was Rodgers' lowest yardage total of his career in a game he wasn't knocked out in by injury. He was sacked three times by that terrific Denver pass rush and hit several more. Green Bay had 140 total yards to 500 for the Broncos.

That the Packers lost wasn't a shock, but that offensive performance sure was, considering the Packers were coming off their bye and were 8-1 in post-bye games under Coach Mike McCarthy. In their first six games, the Packers had outscored opponents 66-9 in the first quarter. The Broncos led 14-0 very early in the second.

Actually, Green Bay's offense has been a bit off the past few games. The Packers managed only 17 points in a Week 4 win in San Francisco, with Rodgers  totaling 224 yards and just one TD. In Week 5, the Pack scored 24 at home, albeit against a good St. Louis defense. Rodgers was held to 241 yards and threw his first two home interceptions in a couple of years. And then in Week 6 at home against a terrible Chargers defense, the Packers were held to 27 points. Perhaps the team is starting to miss No. 1 receiver Jordy Nelson, who was lost for the year in the preseason.

The Packers didn't have rookie receiver Ty Montgomery against Denver due to an ankle injury and he's questionable for Carolina. Starting cornerback Sam Shields lasted only 11 snaps before leaving with a shoulder injury but is looking good to play this week.

Green Bay is 5-2 against the spread on NFL odds and 2-5 'over/under.'

 

Panthers Nearly Gagged One Away Monday
It's a short Week 9 for Carolina as the Panthers nearly gave one away Monday night in the rain at home against Indianapolis but escaped with 29-26 overtime win. Graham Gano missed an extra point early in the game that proved to be crucial, but he hit the winning 52-yard field goal in OT -- his second OT field goal --  a few plays after linebacker Luke Kuechly had picked off Andrew Luck (Kuechly dropped a pick in the end zone in the final seconds that would have ended the game in regulation).

The Panthers were up 23-6 in the fourth quarter and were lucky the Colts didn't win it in the final seconds. They had to settle for a tying Adam Vinatieri 24-yard field goal as time expired. Cam Newton was 16-for-35 for 248 yards, two touchdowns and an interception while rushing for 41 yards. Jonathan Stewart had 82 yards and a TD on 24 carries. Greg Olsen caught six balls for 79 yards and a score.

The Carolina secondary was terrific most of the night. Roman Harper had 12 tackles, while Kurt Coleman and cornerback Bene Benwikere had eight apiece. Harper, Coleman, Charles Tillman and Josh Norman combined for 10 passes defensed. It was Carolina's 11th straight regular-season win. The Panthers played Monday without starting center Ryan Kalil, and left guard Andrew Norwell left with a leg injury. Their status for this week isn't clear yet.

Carolina obviously would have a huge tiebreaker over Green Bay for the potential No.1 seed in the NFC playoffs with a win here -- essentially a three-game lead. The Panthers are 5-2 ATS on NFL picks and 4-2-1 O/U.

 

Last Meeting
The Packers beat the Panthers in Week 7 last season at Lambeau Field, 38-17. Rodgers completed 19-for-22 for 255 yards, three touchdowns, no picks and a near-perfect rating of 154.5. Randall Cobb caught six of those passes for 121 yards and a TD. Both Eddie Lacy and James Starks had rushing scores. Green Bay scored on its first three possessions and led by 25 at the half. The Panthers got two fourth-quarter garbage-time TDs to make the game look closer than it was. Newton was 17-for-31 for 205 yards, a TD and a pick. Olsen caught eight balls for 105 yards. Stewart rushed 13 times for 50 yards.

Hard to see Green Bay losing back-to-back games and Panthers at a disadvantage with the short week. So take the Pack. They are 5-0 ATS in their past five after a loss. Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its past five November games.  

Free NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers -2.5 at BetOnline

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***Looking for more free NFL picks for Week 9? Check Out Our Game-by-Game Rundown for All Week 9 Matchups***