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Kenyan Drake of the Baltimore Ravens scores a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Kenyan Drake of the Baltimore Ravens scores a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images via AFP.

The 6-3 Baltimore Ravens are coming off their bye, primed to make a run for the No. 1 AFC seed after winning three in a row before their break. Can they keep that streak alive when they host the 3-7 Carolina Panthers? Read on for our best Panthers-Ravens picks. 

The Panthers head to Baltimore after a convincing 25-15 win over the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football last week. Sunday is the third time the Panthers and Ravens have played each other in Baltimore, with both teams splitting the previous two matchups. 

Baker Mayfield returns as Carolina's quarterback with P.J. Walker injured. Can the 2017 Heisman Trophy winner topple Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, who won the award in 2016, on home soil? 

Here are our Panthers-Ravens NFL Week 11 picks (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top picks for Week 11.

Panthers vs. Ravens Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 20, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: Fox
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
  • Weather: 36 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, 14-mph winds

Panthers vs. Ravens Odds

Panthers vs. Ravens Odds Analysis

The line opened at 13, with the Ravens as heavy favorites. It briefly dipped to 12.5 but moved back to 13 where it remains at most sportsbooks. Around 63% of the cash is on Baltimore. Despite the huge points being laid, the public continues to back the Ravens, with 64% of the tickets on the home team. 

The total started at 44.5 and dropped to 41. Bettors are favoring the Over, as 72% of the cash is on that side.

Panthers vs. Ravens Picks

Panthers vs. Ravens ATS Pick

Ravens -13 (-107) ★★★

This matchup doesn't suit Carolina. The Panthers allowed the second-most rush attempts this season and rank bottom five in rushing yards conceded and pass attempts. They face Jackson, who had the third most rushing yards for a quarterback this season (635) and threw the fifth most touchdowns (16). 

The Panthers gave up points to the Falcons on both red zone drives. Carolina allowed points to opponents on 24 straight red zone drives dating back to Week 4 against the Arizona Cardinals. Only Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa and Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes have more passing TDs than Jackson (14) inside the red zone. His 57 rushing yards inside the 20 are the second most by a quarterback this year. 

Mayfield makes his first Panthers start since the Week 5 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Carolina was 1-4 with Mayfield under center. The former first-overall draft pick had a QB rating of 15.3 during that five-game span, an NFL worst. 

Panthers vs. Ravens O/U Pick

Over 41 (-110) ★★★★

The Ravens ran for 188 yards in their Monday Night Football win over the New Orleans Saints in Week 9, their eighth straight game with at least 150 rushing yards. This matchup pitches against the team giving up the NFL's second most rushing attempts. There could be plenty of opportunities for Lamar and Co. to score Sunday. 

Panthers running back D’Onta Foreman ran for 130 yards against the Falcons, his third 100-yard game in the last four weeks. Foreman’s 389 rushing yards since Week 7 are the NFL's fourth most behind Derrick Henry (515), Justin Fields (467) and Travis Etienne Jr. (467).

Foreman and Laviska Shenault Jr. both rushed for TDs last week, meaning six different Panthers have now rushed for at least one TD. That’s tied for the most by a team this season with the 49ers. As dominant as the Ravens are, the Panthers pose a threat and could tip the points total for this game over 41. 

Panthers vs. Ravens Prop Pick

Drake anytime TD (+105) ★★★★

Ravens RB Kenyan Drake scored three touchdowns in his last two games. Baltimore’s rushing offense should feast against this Panthers D. Drake rushed for 93 yards and two touchdowns off 24 carries in Baltimore’s previous matchup. With uncertainty around RB Gus Edwards’ status for Sunday, expect Drake to be the feature back against Carolina. The Ravens have the league’s number two rushing attack, averaging 168.1 yards per game and 5.52 yards per carry, also an NFL No. 2. They’re likely to score on the ground, which makes Drake an attractive play. 

Where to Bet on Panthers vs. Ravens Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

Panthers-Ravens picks made 11/17/2022 at 3:58 p.m. ET