Pair of NFL Picks for Eagles vs. 49ers Week 4 Matchup

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, September 24, 2014 8:13 PM GMT

Undefeated Philadelphia Eagles travel to San Francisco 49ers as the severe underdogs. Do the bookies have it right? Find out as we breakdown this matchup and deliver our prospective NFL picks. 

Philadelphia Eagles (3-0, 1-0 away)
Philadelphia Eagles are set to put their undefeated record on the season to the test at San Francisco when they take on the 49ers in week 4 NFL betting. Surprisingly, the undefeated Eagles are listed as the whopping underdogs at +205 NFL odds to mastermind the upset at Levi Stadium. They are also the 5.5-point underdogs after going 2-1 ATS this season.

Philadelphia Eagles are second in the league in passing offense with 310.3 yards per game and they are averaging 33.7 points per game, second behind Atlanta Falcons who at 34.3 (although the Falcons’ stats were skewed significantly by their big win over the hapless Buccaneers last weekend. Nick Foles and the Eagles have established themselves as the comeback Kings of the league, having to comeback from behind in each and every game. Although that might not be so easy to pull off against a San Francisco side that is still pretty good on paper, and should be better than its current record would suggest it really is.

Offensively, the Eagles have a lot to offer. Foles alone has six touchdowns and just two interceptions in three games. Against the Redskins last weekend, he went 27-of-41 passes for three touchdowns and no interceptions. Darren Sproles is averaging 6.9 yards per carry in 17 carries and Jeremy Maclin is a lethal option for Foles downfield as he boasts a team-leading 16 receptions and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, however, the Eagles leave a lot open to interpretation. It’s why all the pressure is on Nick Foles to orchestrate comebacks when defense is a debilitating 30th in the league against the pass allowing 280.3 yards per game and a modest 13th against the rush allowing just 105.7.

The Eagles are 4-0 SU in their last four outings to San Francisco and they are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games. What’s more, they are 3-1 ATS as the away underdogs.

 

San Francisco 49ers (1-2, 0-1 at home)
San Francisco 49ers kicked off their season with a convincing win over the Dallas Cowboys on the road, laying the points as the favourites. Since that tremendous road win, things have gone south for the 49ers. They lost two in row, all while twice taking the early lead. Second-half offensive issues have been the main source of concern, including an entirely pointless second half against divisional rivals Arizona Cardinals last week.

Fingers point towards Colin Kaepernick, who hasn’t scored a touchdown in the second half of the last two games, all while taking six sacks and throwing three interceptions. But fingers should also be pointing to the entire team, top to bottom. They can’t seem to stop the laundry raining down on the field with countless penalties and costly mistakes, all of which have really done in the 49ers in their last two games. Let’s not forget, the San Francisco Niners are having to do without Aldon Smith and NaVorro Bowman on defense as well, two players that are clearly needed to bolster that side of the ball. San Francisco are 9-9 ATS at home since 2012 and 9-9 ATS as home favourites.

 

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers Betting Tips

NFL Betting Line

Philadelphia Eagles +5.5 (-110), +205, O/U 51.0

San Francisco Niners -5.5 (-110), -245, O/U 51.0

 

NFL Betting Verdict
Despite the glaring offensive issues, the San Francisco 49ers are matched as the prohibitive favorites at -245 to win outright. They have home advantage and they are desperate to anoint Levi Stadium with its first-ever win. Given the state of the Eagles’ pass defense, Niners’ receivers could do their heads in. Colin Kaepernick and Company, therefore, should be able to move more freely, and with less opposition down the field than they’ve faced before a straight up win by the Niners does look like a good NFL pick.

Of course, all this predicates on the Niners sorting out their second-half collapse issues and denying the comeback kings the road win. San Francisco’s defense is 15th against the pass allowing 226.3 yards per game and 7th against the rush with just 85.7 yards allowed. This is going to be a much tougher defense for Foles to handle, but he’s proven his worth and that means he should not be written off in the face of a good defense entirely. So if Foles lives up to the hype (as we know he can), he could keep this game close, which makes the Eagles worth the points.

NFL Free Picks: Niners to win straight up at -245 but take the 5.5-points with the Eagles at Pinnacle.

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