Packers-Seahawks Opening Night NFL Parlay Picks

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, September 4, 2014 2:55 PM GMT

The first Thursday Night Football game of the year kicks off in just a few hours, and it’s time to try and add some more value to your NFL Picks. By parlaying our two plays together for tonight, it gives us a chance to pad our bankrolls heading into Sunday’s docket.

This game holds some special meaning too, because it’s the first time these two teams have played one another since touchdown-gate a few years ago. This game will be played with real referees though, but the bad blood probably still remains.


Spread Play
This might be the toughest line to break down when setting up your Thursday night NFL picks. These two teams are both very good, and the NFL Odds have the Packers as +5 ½ underdogs heading into Seattle. The Seahawks are notorious for winning at home, but after an offseason where they lost a lot of key defenders, it’s still a mystery on how they will play against one of the league’s top offenses.

However the Hawks played very well this preseason, and Russell Wilson looks like he is still improving, which is scary for a guy who just won a Super Bowl in his second NFL season. The Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 3 ½ to 10 points, and even against the talented Aaron Rodgers, the Hawks combination of a strong run game and a stout defense should allow them to cover here.

In their last 57 home games, the Seahawks have gone 38-18-1 ATS when playing at home. Even though that stretches back over seven seasons, one thing holds true. It’s very hard to cover against the Seahawks when playing at CenturyLink Field.


Total Play
The NFL Odds have the total for this game set at 47 points, which is actually pretty close to the average total for Week 1. The opening night game of the season is normally a higher scoring one, and I am banking on that once again in 2014. Two of the last three opening night games for the regular season have had plenty of scoring. Last season the Broncos almost dropped 50 points on the Ravens, and three seasons ago, the Packers and Saints were in a game that ended up with 76 points scored.

This season shouldn’t be much different, and even with the stout defense of the Seahawks, the Packers should be able to score some on them. On the flip side, the Seahawks might be able to take advantage of a softer Green Bay front this season, and if they are able to run the ball at will, there will be some heavy scoring.

The Packers also went 4-0 last season cashing the over in the month of September, while the over has now gone over in four of the last five Packer games where Green Bay was a road underdog. Furthermore, the over is 8-2 in the last ten Packers games where Green Bay was playing on the road. Even with the Seahawks trending under, I see a higher scoring game, with a final score of 31-24.

Free NFL Pick: 2-team parlay Seahawks -5 ½ & OVER 47 at 5Dimes

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