Packers-Seahawks Opener to Offer NFL Prop Betting Value

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, September 4, 2014 3:35 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 4, 2014 3:35 PM UTC

The countdown to the start of the NFL season is almost to zero, and Bovada sportsbook has released a ton of Thursday Night Football props to welcome in the NFL season. Although some have little to no value, I have identified three player and team props that could add to your bankroll.

Who Will Have More Receiving Yards, Randall Cobb (-17 ½) or Doug Baldwin (+17 ½)?
Bovada has a nice battle going on between both number two receivers in this game, but for me there is one clear choice. Randall Cobb may be a 17 receiving yards favorite in this game, but he should also be due double the targets. The Seahawks do not want to get into a shoot out with the Packers. They are going to stick to their game plan of running the ball heavily, and trying to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field.

However Baldwin likely won’t be targeted very heavy in the passing game, so even if Cobb only ends up with 60 or 70 yards receiving, (his O/U from Bovada is 67 ½ yards while Baldwin’s is 45 ½) it should be enough to outduel Baldwin. Plus, Jermaine Kearse is probably set to get more targets this season, and he will directly eat into Baldwin’s targets, limiting him in this prop. Cobb may not have a huge game, but he should have a big enough one to win this prop.

NFL Pick: Randall Cobb -17 ½ (-115)


Team to Score the Longest Touchdown
This prop also includes special teams touchdowns if we see any, but for me the choice is once again clear. The Packers’ quick strike offense is going to take flight this season, and even against the solid Seattle defense, they should have the longest score. Cobb is still a very dangerous return man, which will help the Packers’ chances of breaking off a long TD run, and the battle between Jordy Nelson and Richard Sherman could be one where we see Nelson break off a long touchdown. A 25 or 30 yard score may be enough here, and considering the Seahawks don’t like to take too many deep shots downfield, I see the Packers having the longest touchdown in this opening night game.

NFL Pick: Packers (-115)

NFL Prop Betting Markets: Packers vs. Seahawks

Will Either Team Score Three Unanswered Times?
Our final Thursday prop from Bovada is one of my favorites. If you read any of my prop articles from last season, you’ll know that not only is this one of my favorites, but also it’s one of my more profitable prop wagers. At +155, the no looks like an incredibly tempting prop once again. This game should be very close, even with the spread at -5 ½ points. I expect a back and forth game between these two, with neither team getting too far ahead of the other. This should lead to neither team scoring three times in a row without a score from the other team. With the very valuable NFL Odds for a no wager, this has to be my favorite prop play of the evening. Take the no, and ride it all the way to the bank.

NFL Pick: No (+155)

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