Our Packers-Bears NFL Picks Favor Road Cover

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, September 24, 2014 4:52 PM GMT

The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears meet in Week 4 for an NFC North battle. We take a look at the NFL odds on offer and offer up our free picks and thoughts as to which team will be worth backing.

What on earth happened to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week? After getting completely shut down, they'll be hoping to do a lot better Week 4, though the Lions will have other ideas as they try to protect their home turf. What's the best ATS play this Sunday?

The NFL odds are tight, but right now Green Bay is favored by either a point or a point and a half at most of the sportsbooks. There's already been movement after an opening spread of a PK was released to the public.

You'd think these offenses will be able to have success this weekend, so we can see why the total is at 50.5 for Week 4.

 

Chicago in 2014-15 regular season: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, +4.3 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Brandon Marshall (probable), Alshon Jeffery (probable), Chris Conte (questionable), Jeremiah Ratliff (questionable), Shea McClellin (questionable), Trevor Scott (questionable), Ryan Mundy (questionable), Sherrick McManis (questionable)

Green Bay in 2014-15 regular season: 1-2 SU, 0-2-1 ATS, -8.3 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Clay Matthews (questionable), Brad Jones (questionable)

 

The Bears have earned consecutive road victories over San Francisco (28-20) and New York (27-19) after opening with a home loss to Buffalo (23-20 in overtime).

Against the Jets, Chicago held on despite a late rally from the home team. The Bears only totaled 257 yards of offense (as opposed to New York's 414), yet still managed to pick up the win away from home.

Quarterback Jay Cutler had 225 passing yards and two touchdowns, both of which were hauled in by tight end Martellus Bennett. Alshon Jeffery led all Bears receivers with eight catches for 105 yards, with Matt Forte going for a combined 77 yards in the winning effort.

Fortunately for Chicago, both Jeffery and Marshall appear to be nearing full strength and should be able to play this weekend. However, there are more pressing concerns defensively, as a number of players are dealing with injuries on that side of the ball.

That's no good when you consider the upcoming opponent, with the Packers eager to prove that their offense is better than what they showed last week.

Green Bay couldn't get anything going in Detroit in Week 3, losing 19-7 on the road. They only had 223 yards of total offense, as Aaron Rodgers was held to 162 passing yards and one touchdown throw, caught by tight end Andrew Quarless. Eddie Lacy was also kept in check, running for 36 yards on 11 carries. He added one catch for nine yards.

Looking ahead to Week 4, the Packers have no injury worries offensively, but they'll certainly be hoping Clay Matthews will be able to suit up and play. He's being hampered by a groin injury at the moment, and his status for Sunday remains up in the air.

 

Suarez Says:
Don't you think it's a little strange that the Packers are the favorites, despite being on the road and having the worse record?

Obviously oddsmakers believe Green Bay to be the better team, regardless of the early-season performances, and we're inclined to agree. There's no way the Packers are going to struggle offensively like they did last weekend.

Chicago has managed two impressive road wins over the last couple of weeks, but let's remember Week 1 when they fell at home to Buffalo. The Bears have been far from untouchable at Soldier Field, and are beat up on the defensive side of the ball, so let's put our faith in Green Bay to get the job done this weekend. We're taking the road favorites with our NFL picks in this matchup, expecting them to cover in this division rivalry game.

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