Offensive Weapons & A Stout Defense Makes Over The Leading Pick For Jets Totals Wins

New York Jets

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, July 27, 2016 3:42 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 27, 2016 3:42 PM UTC

Can the NY Jets replicate last year’s double-digit winning season? We look at the season win totals currently trading and preview game-by-game the Jets’ 2016 NFL schedule.

New York Jets 2015 Look Back
The New York Jets are coming off a milestone season under first-year head coach Todd Bowles. A 10-6 SU record is a good record by any team’s standard. Heck, it’s often enough to lift a team into the playoffs. Alas, that wasn’t the case for the Jets as they lost out to Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC wild-card race. It was a bitter pill to swallow.

Ryan Fitzpatrick was largely responsible for orchestrating the 10-win season for the Jets after he took over the starting job from Geno Smith. So it’s with some surprise that the Jets are still haggling with the veteran quarterback about his contract. As it is, with the preseason looming Ryan Fitzpatrick remains unsigned. He’s golfing while his teammates are getting set to hit camp.

It’s churlish to put the 2015 season under a microscope in order to glean exactly the merit of the 10-6 SU record. But it might be one way to explain this stalemate. Eight of the ten wins were against teams that were no better than .500 – the remaining two came were against Washington Redskins, who capitalised on an anaemic NFC East and finished 9-7, and the New England Patriots in week 16, which was a shocker and counts as the only signature win of the season. Interspersed between those results were several head scratchers such as a loss to the then hapless Philadelphia Eagles and a so-so Houston Texans, who were then running the quarterback carousel.

Looking at 2015 so, it might be understandable why the Jets organisation is prevaricating with Fitzpatrick’s contract. However, the reality is a new season is on the horizon. With it comes a much tougher schedule and even higher expectations than last season. They can’t really afford to flirt with disaster if they hope to build on 2015. Truth is, he does give the Jets their best shot. Certainly better than Geno Smith, who, at this point in time, looks to be the go-to-guy for the Jets. Oh dear.

Given the confusion in New York, predicting the season NFL bettors can reasonably expect from Ted Bowles and his Jets is a bit of a challenge. As it is, they are hanging on a 7.5 season win total with the OVER favoured at -135 and the UNDER trading at +105 with Bet365. Not surprisingly, on account of the stalemate with Fitzpatrick, public bettors appear to be flocking to the UNDER at the moment. That might be premature as things could change very quickly if Fitzpatrick puts pen to paper before the season gets going.

We’re going to assume the numpties in New York figure out something decent to offer Fitzpatrick sooner rather than later and, accordingly, serve up our predictions with that in mind. Note: should that not be the case and Geno Smith actually does take over instead, take the sum total of our win-loss predictions below and slash them by half at least. There’s no way Geno Smith is cracking the 7.5 projected season win total that is currently trading for the Jets, even with the stout Jets defense and O-line that boasts enviable weapons in Eric Decker, Brandon Marshall, and the recently acquired Matt Forte.  

With that said and done, here are our game-by-game predictions and overarching NFL picks for the Jets.


Week 1 vs. Cincinnati, Sunday, September 11
The NY Jets couldn’t have a tougher home opener than this, a game that features a viable AFC heavyweight in the eyes of many NFL bettors. It’s worth noting the Jets haven’t lost a home opener since 2010, which is a source of optimism for Jets nation. Whether that NFL betting trend continues rests largely on which quarterback trots out to field on the anniversary of September 911, don’t you think? Should Fitzpatrick get what he wants, a contract that befits his perceived worth, he’ll be keen to put up the win. If only to prove all the haggling was worth the headache and worry.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 1-0


Week 2 vs. Buffalo (away), Thursday, September 18
The Jets should be fired up for this game on Thursday Night. Not only because they’ll be reuniting with their former head coach Rex Ryan on the field but also because the Jets lost this matchup in the final week of the 2015 season, and it cost them dearly. To put it simply, it botched their playoff aspirations. It’s a short week right out of the gates for the Jets, not an ideal circumstance for any team. Consider how emotional the defeat was for the Jets, they’ll want to set the record straight. Fitzpatrick and the Jets can get this one back.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 2-0


Week 3 vs. Kansas City (away), Sunday, September 25
The Kansas City Chiefs host the Jets at Arrowhead, a challenging venue for most opponents. This is a tough road game, not to mention a second road game in as many weeks. Hard to see a win by the Jets here.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-1


Week 4 vs. Seattle, Sunday, October 2
This figures to be an interesting matchup between the Seahawks and Jets at MetLife Stadium. Both defenses are no slouches so they’re sure to dig their heels in. Obviously, the majority will back the team with the elite quarterback – the Seattle Seahawks. This counts in the event of a matchup against either Ryan Fitzpatrick or Geno Smith, though it’s worth pointing out that Fitzpatrick did lead the Jets to an upset over the Patriots last year. Worth thinking about.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-2


Week 5 vs. Pittsburgh (away), Sunday, October 9
Big Ben and the Steelers figure to be one of the best teams in the AFC and NFL proper next season, prompting an instinctive NFL pick of a loss for the Jets on the road. The Jets have enviable offensive weapons but do they have a reliable enough quarterback that can hang with Big Ben in the event this turns into a shootout?

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-3


Week 6 vs. Arizona (away), Monday, October 17
The Arizona Cardinals host the Jets on Monday Night Football, a clash that features the reunion between Bruce Arians and his former pupil Todd Bowles. It’s going to be a bittersweet day for the pair, you’d think. It’s back-to-back road games against two of the leagues heavyweights. The NFL odds should be against the Jets quite significantly.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-4


Week 7 vs. Baltimore, Sunday, October 23
The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a 5-11 SU season. The Jets did great last season by capitalising on the weak or the struggling. It’s unlikely the Ravens will be as bad as they were last season, making this a tough game to handicap. Still, the Jets have home advantage. And after a tough road trip over the last few weeks, they’ll be desperate to win.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 3-4


Week 8 vs. Cleveland, Sunday, October 30
The Cleveland Browns figure to be the worst team in the NFL next season. Hue Jackson is a good coach, widely respected by his peers and NFL experts the nation over. Even he can’t work miracles it seems. It’s worth noting, hardly any NFL reporter is predicting his team will lose to the Browns this season. Jets get the much-needed win.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 4-4


Week 9 vs. Miami (away), Sunday, November 6
The Jets pulled off the series sweep over the Miami Dolphins last season. The Dolphins are in a transitional year: new coach, new pieces to the puzzle. This is a winnable game for the Jets given the fact that they stack up better on both sides of the ball.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 5-4


Week 10 vs. Los Angeles, Sunday, November 13
The Los Angeles Rams arrive in MetLife in week 10 NFL betting.  In our preview for the Rams, we noted they had one of the worst NFL schedules in the context of travelling. By week 10, expect the Rams to be feeling the strain. In week 9, the Rams face the Panthers at home. Oh dear.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 6-4


Week 11 BYE


Week 12 vs. New England, Sunday, November 27
Coming out of the bye week, the Jets face the New England Patriots for the first time since upsetting Tom Brady and Company in week 16. Tom Brady will want his own back, you’d think. The loss didn’t sit well with him at all. Can’t say we see back-to-back wins by the Jets over the Patriots either.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-5


Week 13 vs. Indianapolis, Monday, December 5
The Jets beat the Colts last season at Lucas Oil stadium, to the chagrin of Andrew Luck and a stunned Colts nation. Speaking of Andrew Luck, he signed a lovely new contract in the offseason, one that would give Fitzpatrick saucer-eyes if the Jets organisation were to plump down a similar such offer this summer. Fat chance of that happening. If the pair does face off, there’s something very appealing about the paradigm: David beating the so-called Goliath and, in turn, showing up the 72-million dollar product as an overpriced football bauble on Monday Night Football. It’s not impossible if you consider as well the fact that the Colts haven’t improved all that much from last year.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 7-5


Week 14 vs. San Francisco (away), Sunday, December 11
A trip to Levi Stadium could go either way, we reckon. All hinges on what Chip Kelly’s experiment in California looks like. At the time of writing, it’s difficult to say. With a quarterback battle between Colin Kaepernick and Blaine Gabbert yet to be decided, it’s up in the air what this team will look like. It’s a short week for the Jets though and a long trip out west.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 7-6


Week 15 vs. Miami, Saturday, December 17
The Jets swept the series with the Miami Dolphins last season. They could do so again over these divisional rivals. The Dolphins still have holes on both sides of the ball and a rookie head coach in Adam Gase, who is unlikely to be a match for Todd Bowles.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 8-6


Week 16 vs. New England (away), Saturday, December 24
A trip to Foxboro in week 16 NFL betting is a tough ask. Last term, the Jets lost 30-23 at Gillette Stadium. Then, stunning NFL betting markets, they upset the Patriots 26-20 in overtime in week 16 at MetLife. The Patriots have one of the best home records in the league. It’ll take a lot of luck and an out-of-this-world day for the Jets to pull off another late-season stunner.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 8-7


Week 17 vs. Buffalo, Sunday, January 1
The Buffalo Bills quashed the Jets’ playoff hopes last season with a 22-17 victory in Buffalo. This season, the Jets get the Buffalo Bills in week 17 again. This time, they have home field advantage. There’s a score to settle here and they get it done. 

NFL Picks: Win
Record 9-7


NFL Projected Season Win Total for the Jets: As mentioned above, the preceding game-by-game rundown involves Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback and a Jets side loaded with offensive weapons and a stout defense. If all these factors come to play in 2016, a positive season with the Jets emerging at .500 (8-8 SU) or better under second-year head coach Todd Bowles isn’t an unreasonable assumption. As such, we do fancy the OVER 7.5 at -135. We did start this piece with a caveat: If Geno Smith or Bryce Petty or any other unknown ends up the signal caller, we’d reverse on this NFL pick in an instant and pound the UNDER 7.5 with enthusiasm. Perhaps, stay put for now and tune into Jets news before placing your NFL picks.


NFL Picks: Over 7.5 at -135

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