Odds & Parlay Picks for Canadian Football League's Week 11

David Schwab

Saturday, September 6, 2014 5:36 PM GMT

Saturday, Sep. 6, 2014 5:36 PM GMT

The 2014 CFL regular season has reached the halfway point heading into Week 11 and the race to this year’s Grey Cup Playoffs still heavily favors the teams from the West. All five come into this week’s games with a straight-up winning record while Toronto leads the East with a record of 3-7.

Week 11 in the CFL features the second half of two home-and-home series making it a perfect opportunity to use these games in this week’s CFL Two-Team Parlay based on CFL odds by 5Dimes.

 

Game 1
Calgary Stampeders vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Pointspread: PICK
Total Line: 50.5

Betting Preview
Calgary’s 28-13 victory last week against Edmonton as a 4.5-point home favorite has it leading the way in the West at 8-1 SU (7-2 against the spread). It has the best record in the CFL and it is has covered in its last four games. The Stampeders are averaging 27.9 points, but their defense leads the CFL in points allowed (14.9). This has gone a long way towards the total staying UNDER in seven of their first nine games this season.

Edmonton went with quarterback Matt Nichols in Game 1 of this series and while he had a productive day throwing the ball by completing 18-of-30 attempts for 203 yards, the Eskimos still had a hard time finding the end zone. Edmonton is another team that knows how to play defense and it is holding teams to just 18.9 PPG.

 

Betting Trends
The Stampeders are 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

The Eskimos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games played at home.

Calgary is 2-0 SU in this series this season and a perfect 5-0 SU in the last five meetings. It has also covered in its last five trips to Edmonton and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those five meetings at Commonwealth Stadium.

 

Betting Prediction
Past trends and common sense suggest that Calgary has a good chance to win this game SU to cover as your football pick, but I actually think the better play is the UNDER on the total line. Both of these teams are leading with their defense and points could be really hard to come by this Saturday night

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Game 2
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pointspread: Saskatchewan -3
Total Line: 51

Betting Preview
The Roughriders took Game 1 of this home-and-home series 35-30 on a last second score, but they could not cover as 7.5-point home favorites. They are now 7-2 SU and riding an impressive six-game winning streak. Saskatchewan is averaging 25.3 PPG this season, but it has scored 35 points or more in three of its last six wins.

Winnipeg is still right in the thick of the West Division title race at 6-4 SU and they have a profitable 7-3 record against the spread. The main concern coming into this huge rematch is three SU losses in its last four games. The Blue Bombers’ defense has started to show a few cracks in the foundation by allowing 30 or more points in all three of those losses.

 

Betting Trends
The Roughriders are 6-0-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine road games.

The Blue Bombers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven division games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven home games.

Saskatchewan has won both meetings this season to improve to 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with a 5-3 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 14 meetings and in four of the last five played in Winnipeg.

 

Betting Prediction
This is another matchup where the recent betting trends heavily favor one team over the other, but it is hard to beat a division foe twice in the span of one week. That is why I am going with the UNDER in this game to round-out my CFL parlay. The points were flying around in last week’s shootout, but look for Game 2 to turn into a low-scoring grinder in a new venue.

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