Pouring over all the facts, stats and betting trends for this week’s matchups, I have come across two solid plays that come together perfectly for my Week 13 CFL Parlay.
British Columbia Lions vs. Calgary Stampeders
BC is 4-6 straight-up on the year and clinging to a half-game lead over Winnipeg for the final playoff spot in the West. Consistency on offense has been an issue all season long with an average of 22.2 points a game and the fact that quarterback Travis Lulay is out again due to injury does not help the cause. Last week the Lions were hammered by Ottawa at home 31-18 as three-point favorites.
The Stampeders could be looking to take-out their frustrations on another division opponent after losing to Edmonton last week 27-16 as one-point road underdogs. They are still one game up on the Eskimos in the West at 8-3 SU on the year. Calgary also has the best balance in the division behind an offense that is averaging 26.1 points a game complementing a defense that is holding teams to 20.4 points a game.
The Lions are 2-5 both SU and ATS in their last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games.
The Stampeders are 3-8 ATS through their first 11 games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 games.
BC is just 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last five road games against the Stampeders and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Calgary.
Calgary is still the top team in the West despite last week’s loss to Edmonton, but it is just 3-7 ATS this season when closing as a favorite. Despite these issues look for the Stampeders bounce back in a big way this week at the expense of BC with a SU win at home that covers the 12-point spread.
CFL Pick: Calgary -12 at 5Dimes
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Edmonton’s split in its recent home-and-home series against Calgary keeps it in the thick of the West Division race at 7-4 both SU and ATS. The Eskimos have Mike Reilly back in the lineup at quarterback and he threw for 352 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s win. The most impressive part of that win was an Eskimos’ defense that continues to put the clamps on teams by allowing just 17.9 points a game.
The Tiger-Cats are far and away the highest scoring team in the CFL this season with an average of 35.6 points a game, but they also have a stingy defense that is giving-up an average of 20.1 points a game. Hamilton remains in the driver seat in the East with a SU record of 8-3, while covering in nine of the 11 games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of those contests.
The Eskimos are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games, but they have failed to cover in five of their last seven games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 17 games.
The Tiger-Cats are 7-1 both SU and ATS in their last eight games. The total has stayed UNDER in 15 of their last 22 games overall and in 11 of their last 13 home games.
Hamilton has an 8-3 SU edge in its last 11 home games against Edmonton and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in Hamilton.
I am looking for both of these teams to step things up on defense this week in a huge inter-conference battle. This also works to set-up a golden opportunity to cash-in on a total line that appears to be a bit inflated at 52.
CFL Pick: Under 51 at BetOnline