Odds Favor Colts' T.Y. Hilton To Win Receiving Yardage Title

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, December 29, 2016 3:29 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 29, 2016 3:29 PM UTC

While there are only a few teams actually competing for a playoff spot in Week 17 of the NFL season, there are handful of players looking for individual honors. And one of those is Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton, the NFL's leading receiver.

Indianapolis coach Chuck Pagano, who might be fired next Monday, already has said his healthy starters would all play in Sunday's meaningless home game against Jacksonville. The Colts are -4.5 on NFL odds. So presumably we will see QB Andrew Luck and Hilton the entire way. Hilton leads the NFL with 1,353 yards as he looks to win his first career receiving yardage total. He's up 30 yards on the Giants' Odell Beckham Jr. (1,323) and 40 on Atlanta's Julio Jones (1,313).

Bovada has an NFL prop this week on who wins that title: Hilton (-160), Beckham (+200) or Jones (+300). Hilton, who already has surpassed his previous career best of 1,345 yards set in 2014, has had at least 100 yards in three of the past four games. When the Colts lost to the Jaguars on London in early October, Hilton had just 42 yards on seven catches.

It's not clear if Beckham will play the entirety of Sunday's game at Washington as the Giants are locked into the NFC's No. 5 seed. New York coach Ben McAdoo has said his starters will play but didn't mention how long. Beckham had 121 yards receiving vs. the Redskins on Sept. 25.

Jones and Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown were the betting favorites for this prop on NFL picks before the season. Jones won this title last year with 1,871 yards, the second-most in NFL history. He probably would have a nice lead this year if not for missing Weeks 14-15 with a toe injury. He returned Christmas Eve with four catches for 60 yards at Carolina but still isn't quite 100 percent.

The Falcons have every reason to play Jones the full way -- as long as he doesn't aggravate the injury -- Sunday at home vs. New Orleans as Atlanta clinches the NFC's No. 2 seed with a win. Jones had a season-low 16 yards on just one catch on Sept. 26 in a win at the Saints.

Hilton has to be the choice here with playing time concerns for both Beckham and potentially Jones. The Falcons likely will pull him if they get a big lead.

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