Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers Week 7 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 25, 2015 12:39 PM GMT

Oakland is 2-3, but they had momentum going into their bye week even though they lost to Denver. They'll take on 2-4 San Diego, who put up a ton of yards in Green Bay via the arm of Philip Rivers.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -5 -105 at Pinnacle
This game is huge in the AFC West standings as Denver is running away with it, and Kansas City is out of it, which means second place is up for grabs. The Chargers opened up this game as 5-point favorites at home, then the NFL odds moved to -4 and then -3.5 as the Raiders are gaining steam. Losses at Chicago and to Denver at home have come by a combined eight points and while that doesn't seem like a big deal, it is when you've been as bad as Oakland has been over the last few years. The Chargers have also been bitten by close games as three of their four losses have been by 16 combined points. However, they can't depend on Rivers to throw 65 times against as he completed 43 of those passes for 503 yards, two touchdowns and no picks....and the Chargers still lost. That can't be good for his confidence in his team.

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Injuries
For the Raiders, DT Justin Ellis has been bothered by his ankle all season and didn't practice on Wednesday, so that is something to watch, whiel DE Justin Tuck is out for the season with a pectoral injury. This might allow the Chargers to run the ball and give Rivers a bit of a break.

The Chargers still have a lot of problems up front, although G Orlando Franklin is better with his ankle. The WR duo of Stevie Johnson (hamstring) and Keenan Allen (hip) are questionable, although Allen was questionable last week and had a monster game. TE Antonio Gates didn't practice because of his knee, while RB Melvin Gordon was also held out because of his ankle, but both should be able to go on Sunday for this big divisional game.

 

Trends
Oakland has covered the spread in two of their last six games, and they're 1-4 in their last five games on the road. The Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall, and they've covered the spread in just one of their last eight games at home.

The Chargers are 6-4 SU (winning six of the last seven) in their last 10 against the Raiders, who have covered in seven of those games. In San Diego, the Raiders are 2-8 SU in their last 10 trips, but they've covered six times.

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