Oakland Raiders vs. New York Giants: NFL Picks

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, November 7, 2013 7:01 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 7, 2013 7:01 PM UTC

The Raiders invade MetLife Stadium after last week’s loss to the Eagles while the Giants have strung together two consecutive victories but where does the value lie in this NFL picks preview?

Oakland Raiders (3-5 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)

The Raiders have alternated wins and losses over their past four games with their latest trip to the gridiron being a case study in getting thoroughly dissected and butchered by an historic performance from a backup quarterback. To be completely fair, Nick Foles is far from your average second stringer and he was already poised to supplant Michael Vick but his performance last week against the Raiders firmly cemented the new era in Philadelphia.

The Raiders were torched last week en route to their 49-20 thrashing at the hands of the Eagles but they are neither that bad nor is Philly that prolific. Yet Oakland does have its issues stopping the pass but their run defense has been fairly stout all season long. But don’t expect the Giants to be rushing all that frequently particularly when you consider that they have the 30th ranked rushing attack in the league. The secondary will be tested early and often by Eli Manning as he knows the chains won’t be moved on the ground but through the air.

The Raiders defense will have to rely on a big pass rush to eviscerate a subpar Giants offensive line. Thus they will have to rely on pressures, hurries and sacks to tip the scales in their favor in order to get the ball back to the offense and set up good field position. However, if there is a repeat of last week, this game will be over early and it won’t be pretty for the visitors.

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New York Giants (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS)

Apparently a 10-day rest is what this team needed in order to reenergize and revitalize a spectacularly disappointing defense. After their Thursday night 27-21 loss to the Bears at Soldier Field that ratcheted up their winless streak to six on the season, Big Blue had a week and a half to take a good look in the mirror and wretch at their hideous reflection. Apparently the soul searching did them some good as they have won both games since their break and the defense has held both the Vikings and Eagles to a touchdown apiece. 

However, before you compare the Giants success against Philadelphia to the Raiders failure last week, it should be noted that New York lined up against a not-so-terrific tandem in an ailing Michael Vick and his backup Matt Barkley with each quarterback tossing a pick. Nick Foles is head-and-shoulders above both of these QB’s and his presence along with a relentless Chip Kelly aerial assault was the difference maker.

The Giants can’t seem to move the chains on the ground, averaging a paltry 3.2 yards per carry good for 30th in the NFL. However, Eli Manning, despite his proclivities to throw picks this season has the Giants averaging almost 258 yards through the air and that ranks them 13th in the league. Against a solid Raiders run stop unit, expect Manning to take to the skies on Sunday.

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The Free Pick:

The question you have to ask yourself is are the Raiders as porous as they looked against the Eagles last week and have the Giants suddenly emerged as the team that won the Super Bowl only two seasons ago? The truth of the matter is that the Giants are no longer that team and the Raiders are better than what they demonstrated last week.

Personally, I like the fact that the betting public has a short-term memory and that is clearly reflected in this Sunday’s NFL odds. The Raiders should be able to crack a penetrable Giants offensive line which will cause fits for Eli. Conversely, Terrelle Pryor will give Big Blue’s defense something to think about when he rolls out of the pocket and into open space. Take the pup and the points in your NFL picks for this one.

Play Oakland +7 (+100) at Bet365.com.

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