Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins - Week 9 Top Picks

Jay Cutler

David Schwab

Saturday, November 4, 2017 4:48 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 4, 2017 4:48 PM GMT

Two AFC contenders looking to get back on track in their respective division title race following a bad loss clash this Sunday’s night in prime time on NBC when the Oakland Raiders make a trip the East Coast to face the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET).

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Free NFL Pick: Under 44Best Line Offered: at HeritageGame Overview

Oakland reverted to its old ways last Sunday in an ugly 34-14 loss to Buffalo as a 1.5-point road underdog after posting an encouraging one-point victory at home against Kansas City the week before as a three-point underdog. This has been one of the more frustrating betting teams this season at 3-5 both straight-up and against the spread. The Raiders are 1-5 (SU and ATS) in their last six games and the total has gone OVER in three of their last four outings.

Derek Carr continues to put up some decent numbers throwing the ball with 1,654 passing yards and 12 touchdown throws, but he been picked off six times to go with nine sacks. The Raiders’ offense, as a whole, is ranked 20th in the NFL in total yards and it drops to 26th when it comes to rushing yards with 88.0 a game. Oakland’s defense has also been a major source of concern against both the pass and the run. This unit is 25th in the league in total yards allowed.

The Dolphins appeared to be on the right track with three SU victories in a row against Tennessee and the New York Jets at home wrapped around a road win against Atlanta as heavy 14-point underdogs. It all came crashing down against Baltimore in a forgettable 40-0 loss in prime time on a Thursday night as a three-point road underdog. Miami is 4-3 SU with a 3-3-1 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in its last two outings after staying UNDER in its first five games this season.

You can place some of the blame for that latest loss on Matt Moore as a replacement for an injured Jay Cutler at quarterback, but this offense has been bad no matter who has been under center. Cutler should be back at the helm on Sunday night guiding an offense that is ranked at the bottom of the league in both yards gained (252.4) and points scored (13.1). It moves to 30th in passing yards (176.0) and 31st when it comes to running the ball. Maybe that is why the Dolphins just traded away its leading rusher Jay Ajayi.

 

Game Betting Trends

 --The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games on the road and they have also gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER the closing betting line six times in their last eight road games.

 --The Dolphins have only covered in six of their last 19 games against a team with a SU losing record, but they have posted a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games played in Week 9 of the season. Following a SU loss, the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games.

 --The road team has the 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven games between these two AFC foes and the total has gone OVER in each of the last four meetings.

 NFL Pick

Both of these teams are looking for a fast start to the second half of the season and while I am not really sure which one accomplishes this feat on Sunday night, I feel confident that the end result will not be all that pretty for the fans watching this game. Take the UNDER on a generous 44-point total line at SBR Odds as the top NFL pick in this matchup.

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