Niners Hold Solid Value for 49ers-Cardinals Week 3 NFL Picks

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, September 17, 2014 7:06 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 17, 2014 7:06 PM UTC

The Cardinals have raced out to a 2-0 start, but face a very difficult test Week 3 against the 49ers, who will be eager to get back on track after letting one get away. Let's take a closer look at the NFL odds that are on offer.

The lines have stood still, with the visiting 49ers still favored by a field goal at the top sportsbooks.

Both defensive units can hold strong on their day, so we can't be taken aback by a relatively low total of 42 points.

The big worry coming in for Arizona is the status of Carson Palmer. Palmer, who missed last week's win over the Giants, won't start, and it's highly unlikely he'll feature at all here in Week 3. That leaves backup Drew Stanton in line to make another start, after he was far from effective last weekend.

The 49ers' top concern is Vernon Davis, who's listed as questionable at the moment.

While we've been impressed by Arizona's overall play in the early stages of the season, we look for San Francisco to be the victors this weekend.

The edge at quarterback is clearly in the 49ers favor, and we widely expect Colin Kaepernick to rebound after making some poor mistakes last week. He should outplay Stanton in this spot.

San Francisco let a win get away in Week 2, and shouldn't let that happen again this Sunday. Side with the 49ers with your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: 49ers -3

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In terms of the NFL odds, it's pretty consistent across the board. San Francisco is favored by a field goal, despite being on the road and having the inferior record.

Wanting to make a play on the total? Right now you can find an O/U of 42 points at 5Dimes.

Arizona Cardinals in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, +6.0 margin of victory

San Francisco 49ers in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, +1.5 margin of victory

The Cardinals didn't have much trouble getting a Week 2 road win over the Giants. They picked up a 25-14 victory at a line that was essentially a PK.

After getting off to a fast 10-0 start, Arizona saw its lead evaporate and turn into a deficit, but the Cardinals recovered to score 15 fourth-quarter points en route to the straight up win and against the spread cover.

Carson Palmer was a relatively late scratch before the game, meaning backup Drew Stanton had to step in and run the offense. He managed just fine, avoiding crucial mistakes and making the throws he needed to make.

Despite limited practice participation, Andre Ellington played a part again, and he ended up with 91 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards. Arizona scored most of its points on field goals (four), but Ted Ginn Jr.'s 71-yard punt return for a touchdown was hugely important.

Now the Cardinals return home, where they'll play host to Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers.

San Francisco looked like they were on their way to a relatively comfortable win on Sunday Night Football against the Bears. However, the 49ers allowed 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose 28-20 at home. Gut-wrenching stuff.

Kaepernick made some great plays, especially with his legs, but he also made critical mistakes. He threw three interceptions and was sacked four times in the loss, while also losing a fumble. The quarterback will have to be smarter with his decision-making against Arizona.

Elsewhere, the 49ers got 63 rushing yards and a touchdown out of Frank Gore, while Michael Crabtree led the team in receiving with 82 yards and a score on seven catches.

There's no doubt it was a mighty tough loss to take for San Francisco, but this team is resilient, and oddsmakers apparently believe they're the better team, regardless of that letdown on national television.

We'll continue to track the status of Palmer, who is trying to recover in time to return to the starting role this Sunday. Regardless, we believe San Francisco could hold good value here for our NFL picks in a potential bounce-back spot against a team they know well.

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