We easily cashed two props on a couple of receivers for TNF this week and I am ready to add to it here on Sunday’s day slate. Follow along as I release my two best bets courtesy of Bovada sportsbook.
NFL Season Props Record: 56-38-2
Terrelle Pryor O/U 54.5 receiving yards
Much like our play on Mohamed Sanu earlier in the week, Bovada is undervaluing Terrelle Pryor on Sunday with barely over 50 yards for his total. Pryor is the number one receiver in this offense, but because he plays on the Browns, he gets undervalued.
However, Pryor has seen double-digit targets in half of the Browns’ games this season and even with Josh Gordon still not looking like he is going to join the team, Pryor should be the team’s leading receiver against the Cowboys this week.
Dallas’ secondary has been pretty good this season, but because they have been playing with the lead so much, teams have a ton of completions to receivers against them. Dallas is tied for fifth in the league in receptions allowed to opposing receivers with 110 on the season and over the last two weeks, Dallas has allowed 46 receptions to opposing receivers. Volume alone with carry Pryor over his yards total for this game, especially if the Browns are playing from behind for most of the game.
Free NFL Pick: OVER 54.5 (-125)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Darren Sproles O/U 24.5 receiving yards
The Eagles’ running back situation has basically gone to trash very quickly, but luckily for them, they still have Darren Sproles, who performed well last week and is coming into Week 9 seemingly as the Eagles’ top back.
However, even if his role is diminished in the rushing attack some this week, his role on third down is locked in. Along with the added looks on first and second down, Sproles should see about the same volume against the Giants this week.
New York ranks just outside the top ten in targets allowed to opposing running backs this season at 54, so assuming Sproles gets all of those targets from Carson Wentz this week, we have to assume he sees seven or eight targets this week. He saw seven targets and five receptions last week and if he gets that many this week he should easily go over 24 yards through the air against the Cowboys.