NFL Week 9 Betting: Colts-Packers Lead Biggest Spreads & Picks

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, November 3, 2016 11:48 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 3, 2016 11:48 PM UTC

A 2-1 mark on my biggest spread picks of Week 8, hitting on New England (-6) and Dallas (-4.5) but missing on Minnesota (-4.5) as it lost outright in Chicago. Here are three of the biggest Week 9 spreads on BookMaker NFL odds.

Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)

It would be a minor upset if this isn't the highest-scoring game of Week 9 as Andrew Luck and Aaron Rodgers square off for the second time as professionals -- Luck got the best of Rodgers back in 2012 when Luck was a rookie. I really believe the Colts should have made a coaching change after last season instead of surprisingly giving Chuck Pagano an extension. This team looks lost everywhere but at quarterback. Indy has yet to win back-to-back games this season and won't have a chance here off a 30-14 home loss to Kansas City last Sunday. Do you realize that defense has allowed at least 22 points in every game? Luck threw for 210 yards and two scores while leading the team with 60 yards rushing. Indy lost Pro Bowl cornerback Vontae Davis to a concussion and he's in question here. The Packers also have yet to win consecutive games and can't here off a 33-32 loss in Atlanta. Admirable the game was that close considering the Packers were missing receiver Randall Cobb, receiver/running back Ty Montgomery, top linebacker Clay  Matthews and two starting cornerbacks. It's still not clear which of those guys might play Sunday, although it appears at a minimum that Montgomery will. He wasn't hurt last week but had an illness. With Green Bay's top two running backs out, Montgomery has become the main guy in the backfield, although the Packers have basically been using short passes as a substitute. Green Bay has covered on NFL odds its past four after a loss.

Free NFL Pick: Green Bay -7.5

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

The Chiefs are probably going to be the top choice in many Survivor and Confidence Pools this week. Makes some sense considering the Jaguars are a mess on both sides of the ball right now. Some thought head coach Gus Bradley was going to be fired after last Thursday's embarrassing loss at Tennessee, but instead Bradley canned his offensive coordinator, Greg Olson, and promoted QBs coach Nathaniel Hackett. Interesting choice considering that Jags QB Blake Bortles is struggling. I will say that a midseason coordinator change can spur a team for a few weeks. It happened last year in Detroit and early this season in Buffalo. Kansas City is playing its best football of the year in a three-game winning streak.  That improving defense held the Colts to  14 points in Indianapolis last week. However, both quarterback Alex Smith and running back Spencer Ware suffered concussions. Smith already has been ruled out, meaning Nick Foles will make his first start in a Chiefs uniform. It's still not clear on Ware, although the Chiefs have a solid No. 2 there as well in Charcandrick West. Also monitor the status of top receiver Jeremy Maclin, who is dealing with a groin injury. Lot of questions here, but I still like the Chiefs only giving 7 at BookMaker. Anything higher and no.

Free NFL Pick: Kansas City -7

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Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns (-7)

On paper, this game should be a blowout. The Cowboys have the best record in the NFC and the longest winning streak in the NFL at six in a row. They had a big comeback win over NFC East rival Philadelphia last Sunday night, cementing Dak Prescott's role as the starting quarterback the rest of the season regardless of if/when Tony Romo gets healthy. It must burn Browns fans knowing that their team could have drafted Prescott a few times before Dallas took him in Round 4 and that Cleveland also could have taken Cowboys rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott at No. 2 overall instead of trading out of that spot with the Eagles. Reportedly the Browns were looking at Prescott in Round 3 but took USC's Cody Kessler instead. Kessler had been playing pretty well but missed last week's loss to the Jets with a concussion. It's not clear whether Kessler or Josh McCown, who returned from injury vs. the Jets, will start this week. But apparently rookie first-round receiver Corey Coleman will play after missing six weeks with a fractured hand. This game should scare Cowboys fans, but I still will give the 7. If I'm a Browns fan, I'd go find an extra half-point at other sportsbooks because it's out there.

Free NFL Pick: Dallas -7

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