NFL Week 9 Betting: Biggest Point Spreads & Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, October 31, 2014 4:48 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 31, 2014 4:48 PM UTC

Another solid 2-1 record on the three biggest spreads of Week 8 NFL Picks, so thank you Chiefs (vs. Rams) and Browns (vs. Raiders) but pox on your house Cowboys (vs. Redskins)! 

Oakland Raiders vs. Seattle Seahawks (-15 on NFL odds)
Here's guessing the Seahawks are a very popular choice in your Survivor Pool this week for those who haven't used them yet as NFL picks. This will be one of the biggest lines of the year, perhaps only surpassed by when Oakland visits Denver in Week 17 -- that is if the Broncos have anything to play for by then. I would warn you that favorites of more than two touchdowns more often than not don't cover. The Raiders are playing a bit better and Derek Carr has just one interception in the past three games. Oakland played three good teams, New England, San Diego and Arizona, pretty tough. I will also warn you that last year also in Week 9 Seattle hosted another winless team, Tampa Bay, as a 16-point favorite at sportsbooks. Seattle had to rally from a 21-point deficit to win in overtime. The Seahawks also have some injury problems. For example, undrafted rookie Brock Coyle is set to make his first NFL start Sunday at middle linebacker.

Free NFL Pick: Oakland. It's human nature to overlook a game like this so the Raiders should be able to lose by 14 points or less.

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-11 at sportsbooks)
This sure looks on the surface like a huge trap game for Cincinnati. The Bengals were winless in three straight games heading into last week's AFC North first-place showdown with Baltimore. The Bengals won 27-24 on Andy Dalton's 1-yard keeper with under a minute left. It looked like the Ravens threw an 80-yard TD pass with 32 seconds left, but Steve Smith, who caught the pass, was called for offensive pass interference. It probably was the right call, but that's a draining victory for the Bengals. Plus next week they have a rivalry/division game with Cleveland. Cincy probably won't have starting running back Gio Bernard but apparently will finally get back star receiver A.J. Green.

Free NFL Pick:: Jaguars will score a late garbage-time TD to cover by a point.

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St. Louis Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers (-10 on NFL odds)
Even bad teams can have letdown games. I believe that's what happened to St. Louis last week in Kansas City. In Week 7, the Rams pulled out all the trick plays and surprised Seattle. Then last week, apparently feeling too good about itself, St. Louis was crushed 34-7 in Kansas City, a team that obviously isn't as good as the Seahawks. Oh, and the Rams lost two starters to season-ending injuries: left tackle Jake Long and receiver Brian Quick. The 49ers are going to be ornery. San Francisco comes off a bye and is favored on NFL odds vs. St. Louis, and no doubt is ready to atone for a 42-17 blowout loss in Denver in Week 7. Peyton Manning basically embarrassed that Niners defense. I feel bad for Rams QB Austin Davis in this one. San Francisco won 31-17 in St. Louis in Week 6. The Rams led that 14-0 after one quarter but then were steamrolled. The 49ers permitted one first down on St. Louis' first six possessions of the second half.

Free NFL Pick: 49ers at Pinnacle. The Rams are 1-5 ATS at sportsbooks in their past six on the road. San Francisco has covered four of its past five following a loss.

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NY Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-10 at sportsbooks)
This has the potential to be a major trap game for Kansas City. The Chiefs are feeling great about themselves right now. Coming out of a Week 6 bye, the Chiefs pulled an upset in San Diego and then routed St. Louis last week. Might Kansas City overlook a Jets team that appears in disarray and has lost seven straight? Plus the Chiefs have two much tougher games up next: at Buffalo and vs. Seattle. New York, meanwhile, finally has benched turnover king Geno Smith in favor of Michael Vick. You would think Vick gives the Jets a better chance to win if he can stay on the field, which is never a sure thing. K.C.'s strength is running the ball, but the Jets' strength is stopping it.

Free NFL Pick: Jets on NFL odds, although I would go for the alternate line of 10.5 at sportsbooks such as 5Dimes. 

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