NFL Week 8 Predictions - Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts players celebrating

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 25, 2016 9:08 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 25, 2016 9:08 PM GMT

Ross Benjamin went a rock solid 8-4 with his overall football picks last week. Join us in reading his betting preview on Sunday’s game between the Chiefs and Colts that concludes with an NFL pick.

 

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts  

Indianapolis (3-4) hosts Kansas City on Sunday in an intriguing AFC matchup. These teams have played each other 3 times since 2012, and Indianapolis was 3-0 SU&ATS with an average winning margin of 8.0 points per game.

At the time of this writing (10/25), NFL betting odds at Bovada shows Kansas City as a 3.0-point road favorite in this contest. A consensus of the best sportsbooks indicates that 63.6% of individual bets have been made on Kansas City.

 

Colts Strong Home Field

Since 2012, Indianapolis has gone a stellar 27-10 at home, and that includes a very profitable 26-11 ATS (70.3%). During that exact time frame, the Colts are a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 or less.

 Chiefs Misleading Turnover Margin

Kansas City has a very impressive +7 turnover margin through its first 6 games. However, they had a massive differential of +7 in their game against the New York Jets, and are dead even in that category over the course of its other 5 contests. Additionally, the Colts have committed only 6 turnovers in 7 games.

 

NFL Betting Angle

Indianapolis is coming off a 34-26 win over division rival Tennessee and did so as a 4.0-point road underdog. Kansas City enters this week with a win percentage of .667, and has won each of their previous 2 games.

Any home team (Colts) that’s +3.0 to -3.0, coming off an away underdog straight up win in which they scored 34 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’ve (Chiefs) won each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1995. The average victory margin was 15.4 points per game. Considering the home team is the underdog in this precise situation, there’s added betting value, and one of my NFL week 8 predictions will follow that handicapping logic.

 Free NFL Pick: Indianapolis +3.0Best Line Offeredat Bovada now offering 100% cash bonus

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