NFL Week 8 Betting: Patriots-Bills Lead Biggest Spreads & Picks

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, October 30, 2016 2:33 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 30, 2016 2:33 PM UTC

A 1-2 mark on my biggest spread picks of Week 7, hitting on Denver (-8.5) but missing on Pittsburgh (+7.5) and Atlanta (-6.5, but did recommend the winning 'over'). Here are three of the biggest Week 8 spreads on BetOnline NFL odds.


New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

It's rare to not have the biggest favorite on the board in an NFL week be favored by at least 7 points. This line has been growing and the Patriots are taking a heavy lean, so you might want to jump on this now if planning to give the points. The  Patriots have looked invincible in the three games Tom Brady has played. He is completing 75.2 percent of his passes for 1,004 yards, eight touchdowns, no picks and a rating of 132.6. The completion percentage and rating would easily set NFL single-season records. But, no, Brady's not playing with any sort of chip on his shoulder because of Deflategate (sarcasm!). 

The Patriots' only loss this season was 16-0 in Week 4 at home to these Bills, but that was with the slightly less accomplished Jacoby Brissett under center. New England has not been swept by an AFC East opponent in 15 seasons, which is the longest streak since the 1970 NFL merger. The Pats are 7-0 against divisional opponents that have a chance to sweep the season series since 2002, winning by an average of 24.1 points per game. That's pretty incredible. Brady is 25-3 in his career against the Bills. I might give Buffalo a small chance of the upset if top running back LeSean McCoy was playing. But he left last week's upset loss in Miami with a hamstring injury and it doesn't appear that McCoy will go. He had 108 yards from scrimmage and a TD catch in the first meeting with New England. The Pats have covered 10 of their past 12 in Buffalo, that's why New England will be my week 8 NFL pick.

 Free NFL Pick: New England -5.5Best Line Offered: at JustBet

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Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

First place in the NFC East is on the line with Dallas as one of two 5-1 teams in the NFC and leading the Eagles by a game. But really this is all about the matchup of rookie quarterbacks: Philadelphia No. 2 overall pick Carson Wentz and Dallas No. 135 overall pick Dak Prescott. Believe it or not, these two have played against one another before and it wasn't a North Dakota State-Mississippi State matchup. No, both were in the Senior Bowl, with Wentz on the North team and Prescott on the South. And both of these quarterbacks met with both the Eagles and Cowboys before the draft. They are the first rookie quarterbacks with a combined winning percentage of .750 (with a minimum of three starts) since the merger. But neither of those two is the Rookie of the Year betting favorite at SBR's best sportsbooks. 

That would be Cowboys No. 4 overall pick Ezekiel Elliott, who is the NFL's leading rusher and has had four straight games of at least 130 yards, a first for an NFL rookie. With 130 rushing yards against Philadelphia, Elliott would become just the seventh player in league history to rush for at least 130 yards in five consecutive games. The last to do it was Chris Johnson with the Titans in 2009, the year he hit 2,000 yards. The Eagles have won their past three in Dallas, but the Philly defense has been much weaker away from home this season. The Cowboys also are welcoming back top receiver Dez Bryant. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their past five.

 NFL Free Pick: Dallas -4.5 Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears 

This is the Monday night game this week and the total of 40.5 is the lowest on the board. Makes sense considering the Vikings have the NFL's top defense, ranking No. 1 in points (14.0) and yards (279.5) allowed per game. Minnesota also has a league-best 16 takeaways to rank first in the NFL with a +11 turnover differential. The Vikings need to be strong defensively because their offense was exposed in last week's 21-10 loss in Philadelphia. Sam Bradford was under siege all day behind a shaky offensive  line, and Minnesota ranks last in the NFL in rushing. Adrian Peterson isn't riding to the rescue any time soon. 

The Bears are last in the NFL in scoring. Normally it's a good thing when your starting quarterback returns from injury, but I'm not sure that's the case with the Bears and Jay Cutler. He wasn't very good in his first two starts this year, both Bears losses in which they totaled only 14 points in each, before going out with a thumb injury. And if Cutler gets hurt again, the Bears will be forced to turn to Matt Barkley, and he was overmatched in last Thursday's loss in Green Bay once Brian Hoyer left with a broken forearm. There's just not much positive to say about Chicago's football team right now. Hey, at least there's the Cubs! The Bears are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games. 

 Free NFL Pick: Minnesota -4Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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