NFL Week 7 Power Rankings Update: Patriots Still King of the Hill

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 19, 2015 5:12 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 19, 2015 5:12 PM UTC

Here are the fresh ranking with some Week 7 Opening Line picks and a Super Bowl Future Book bet which may be worth checking out as we close in on the season's halfway point .

It’s bad enough they have Mosquitoes the size of Hyundais, 117% Relative Humidity and those Dangling Chads, but poor state of Florida may have the three worst teams in the NFL right now—the AFC’s Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins and the NFC’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers—after the Jaguars lost to the Houston Texans at Home in Jacksonville on Sunday to snag the bottom spot (#32) here as the Saints woke up behind Drew Brees and beat the Falcons in New Orleans on Thursday night. But enough about the Sunshine State, let’s talk about the Cincinnati Bengals, who vaulted over three of the NFL’s Elite teams last season—the Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos in this fresh NFL Power Rankings. So that thing Nostradamus said about the day that you realized that maybe Andy Dalton and the Bengals were more dangerous—and potentially more profitable to us sports gamblers—than Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks and Peyton Manning and the Broncos—must be true. So, best stock up on Water, Beans and AA batteries, brother. The Rains have come. Cincinnati easily defeated the Bills in Buffalo at Ralph Wilson Stadium on Sunday, 34-21, and even though statistics and Time of Possession (30:30) were almost even, the visitors burst Buffalo’s bubble early on and rolled to an easy Win and will be a hard team for whomever they play, wherever with the massive Confidence, Skill Position player Depth and Balance it now possesses. And what about those six teams—the Patriots, Packers, Broncos, Bengals, Cardinals, Falcons and Panthers—who had a sugary 26-4-2 ATS (86.7%) mark heading into Week 6, Billy? Well, those seven teams went a sportsbook director-loving 2-5 ATS in Week 6, with the aforementioned Bengals getting the money and the upstart Carolina Panthers covering (and winning outright) in Seattle against the Seahawks on Sunday, while the Patriots, Packers, Broncos, Cardinals and Falcons all lost ATS (to the closing line). So, now 28-9-2 ATS (75.7%)—with 5 ATS Losses in Week 6 —one more than the entire season combined for these seven NFL teams had combined heading into Week 6—and a logical and expected reversion to a statistical mean, as anyone with half a Lima Bean for a Brain knows that a success rate of 86.7% can only be kept up in Russian elections and in blowing up balloons without them popping.

Anyway, here are the fresh rankings heading into Week 7, with the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles playing tonight (Monday) on the aptly-named Monday Night Football at Lincoln Financial Field in the City of Brotherly Love (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 p.m. PDT;
NFL Odds: Eagles (-5½) Pinnacle) in the last game of Week 6.


1)  New England Patriots (5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS; +350 win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Why? The defending Super Bowl champion Patriots stayed unbeaten on Sunday night, holding off the Colts in Indianapolis, 34-27, but failing to cover as (closing) 9-point favorite in a game that Indianapolis were actually installed as 2½-point underdogs in the renowned NFL Games of the Year, out earlier in the Summer at the world’s largest sportsbook here in rainy Sin City. So, of you somehow created a Monster Middle between Patriots +2½ and Colts +9 (and banged it thanks to that late Colts TD), congratulations and enjoy the Lobster Tail and imported beer. You deserve it, Mr. 1% of the 1%. Tom Brady looked Brady-like, but TE Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman had off nights, the latter turning a simple TD into a Colts Pick-6 and ultimately winning Indianapolis backers +7½ and up with the win on that strange play. Next up for New England, an AFC showdown at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro next Sunday with the New York Jets (4-1 SU) and former Patriots CB Darrelle Revis in a game in which New England has been installed as big 9½-point favorites (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). Last Week: #1


2)  Cincinnati Bengals (6-0 SU, 5-0-1 ATS; 10/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Why? Vaulting over three of the NFL’s Elite—the Green Bay Packers, Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks—in one fell swoop is not something to be taking lightly, nor done in the name of Sensationalism or Hype. But the time has come, and the Cincinnati Bengals (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 10/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) but this weekly Sunday night ranking is all about how you’re playing football right now, how Healthy and Confident your team is and if you’re covering the Point Spread for your backers. On Sunday, Cincinnati QB Andy Dalton (23/33, 243 yards, 3 TDs) and the Fighting Who Deys of Southern Ohio again let their Offense do the talking and the Bengals took advantage of 8 Bills Penalties for 93 yards to roll to a comfortable 34-21 win at Ralph Wilson Stadium in Buffalo, basically saying, “Hey we are good, and this Buffalo team you fluffed all Summer may not be. And we like our QBs lovely orangey locks.” Dalton hooked up with TE Tyler Eifert (4 receptions, 30 yards, TDs), superstar WR AJ Green (4 receptions, 36 yards), WR Mohamed Sanu (2 receptions, 30 yards, 13.8 ypc) and especially the oft-unheralded Marvin Jones (9 receptions, 95 yards, 10.6 ypc, TD) in the victory while RBs Jeremy Hill (16 rushes, 56 yards; 1 reception, 13 yards, TD) and Giovani Bernard (8 rushes, 50 yards, TD) quietly did their thing in the Bengals backfield. Coming up for Cincinnati and 13-year Head Coach Marvin Lewis (99-95-10 ATS) is an Open Date and time to chill, bask in the glow of a nice start and plan on how they can somehow overtake the Super Bowl Champions Pats in the AFC. Last Week: #4 (Tie)


3)  Green Bay Packers (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS; +350 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Why? Green Bay held off the Chargers, 27-20, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay on Sunday, but the Packers looked extremely average on Offense and Green Bay DBs struggled much of the afternoon, allowing Chargers QB Philip Rivers to pass for over 500 yards. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (16/29, 255 yards, 2 TDs) did help earn the hosts the win, as always, but RB Eddie Lacy (4 rushes, 3 yards) was ineffective and it truly took a team effort—and a stop on a pass in the End Zone as time expired—to hold off San Diego which played a solid, game, upping their stock some with the performance. James Starks (TD) and James Jones (TD) had nice games for the Cheeseheads. Green Bay and Head Coach Mike McCarthy (94-64-4 ATS), like Cincinnati, will now enjoy their Open Date with an unbeaten mark and inside track to earning Home-field advantage in the NFC. Last Week: #2


4)  Denver Broncos (6-0 SU, 4-2-0 ATS; 12/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) Why? Like Green Bay, Denver has been pretty Lucky this season (so far). But maybe great plays at the right time create that Luck? The Broncos once again needed OT to get the Win, this time against the Browns in Cleveland, and they stay unblemished with the Broncos Offense again showing it’s a liability and 39-year-old QB Peyton Manning (103-63-5 ATS off Win)—who has 10 Interceptions already this 2015/16 Regular Season—showing he’s almost declining by the minute and that Eli may be the best Manning for now. We’ll see tonight. But the Broncos active and ferocious Defense—without the injured Demarcus Ware—again scored on its own, again on a Pick-6 and the talented Aqib Talib returned a poor Josh McCown pass to the house for Denver early on. The Broncos had too many drops, and again, the Offense—which scored its first TD in 27 drives—ended up putting way too much pressure on the Defense. But again, the Defense rose to the occasion. But this team has some issues and head-to-head meetings with the 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 teams in this week’s rankings would be very interesting. Next up, like the Bengals and Packers, Denver has its Open Date and can to figure some things out Offensively and let some other injured players heal. The Broncos host those Packers at Sports Authority Field when they do return in Week 8 (Nov. 1) in Denver, and in the renowned Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook NFL Games of the Year, the Broncos opened up as 2½-point chalks. Last Week: #5


5)  Carolina Panthers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS; 20/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) Why? Going into CenturyLink Field in Seattle and knocking off the defending NFC champion Seahawks is no small thing, and Carolina and QB Cam Newton rallied in the 4th Quarter for a 27-23 win to improve to 5-0 on Sunday afternoon for the first time since 2003 and improve their Regular Season win streak to an impressive 9 games. Did you know That? Auburn product Newton was 20/26, 269 yards and a TD as TE Greg Olsen (7 receptions, 131 yards, TD and RB Jonathan Stewart (20 rushes, 78 yards, 2 TDs) were his main targets in the upset win in the Emerald City on Sunday. Carolina will now host the Philadelphia Eagles and Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte on Sunday night in Week 7 primetime action (NBC, 8:25 p.m. EDT/5:25 p.m. PDT; Odds: Panthers -3, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). Last Week: #8


6)  Arizona Cardinals (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS; 14/1 to win Super Bowl, bet365) Last Week: #7


7)  Seattle Seahawks (2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS; 16/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) Last Week: #3


8)  Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS; 25/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: #11


9)  New York Jets (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS; 40/1 to win Super Bowl, Unibet) Last Week: #12


10)  Minnesota Vikings (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS; 50/1 to win Super Bowl, P888sport) Last Week: #14


11)  Indianapolis Colts (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS; 20/1 to win Super Bowl, bet365) Last Week: #13


12)  Atlanta Falcons (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS; 25/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: #10


13)  St. Louis Rams (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; 80/1 to win Super Bowl, bet365) Last Week: #9


14)  San Diego Chargers (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS; 100/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) Last Week: #16


15) New York Giants (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS; 28/1 to win Super Bowl, 32Red) Last Week: #20


16)  Buffalo Bills (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS; 80/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #10


17)  Cleveland Browns (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS; 250/1 to win Super Bowl, Unibet) Last Week: #20


18)  Oakland Raiders (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; 250/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #17


19)  Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; 66/1 to win Super Bowl, bet365) Last Week: #18


20)  Philadelphia Eagles (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; 30/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #19


21)  Houston Texans (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #24


22)  San Francisco 49ers (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: #25


23)  Baltimore Ravens (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS; 250/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #21


24)  Washington Redskins (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; 200/1 win Super Bowl, Stan James) Last Week: #22


25)  Detroit Lions (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS; 400/1 to win Super Bowl, 32Red) Last Week: #28


26)  (Tie) New Orleans Saints (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; 150/1 to win Super Bowl, 32Red) Last Week: #30


26)  (Tie) Chicago Bears (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; 300/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) Last Week: #26


28)  Tennessee Titans (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS; 300/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) Last Week: #27


29)  Kansas City Chiefs (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #23


30)  Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; 500/1 win Super Bowl, Stan James) LW: #29


31)  Miami Dolphins (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; 150/1 to win Super Bowl, 888sport) Last Week: #32


32)  Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS; 500/1 win Super Bowl, bet365) Last Week: #31


NFL WEEK 7 POWER RANKINGS PICKS: Houston Texans +5 over Miami Dolphins (Pinnacle), Arizona Cardinals -7 over Baltimore Ravens (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)


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