NFL Week 7 Pick: New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, September 5, 2017 11:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 5, 2017 11:13 PM UTC

So much for future Hall of Famers Drew Brees of the Saints and Aaron Rodgers battling one another at Lambeau Field on Sunday for perhaps the final time. Survivor Pick: New Orleans.

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+6, 48)

First meeting between these teams since October 2014, a 44-34 Saints home blowout win. Drew Brees threw for 311 yards and three touchdowns with just five completions in 32 attempts. Aaron Rodgers had 418 yards and a touchdown but was picked off twice. The biggest injury of this NFL season happened in Week 6 as Rodgers suffered a broken collarbone in a loss to the Vikings. That obviously changes the entire shape of the NFC, not just Green Bay’s North Division. Four years ago, Rodgers broke his left collarbone and missed seven games. The Pack were 2-4-1 in those seven, but he was able to return for a winner-take-all game in Chicago for the North title and led a last-minute win. The problem this time is that’s the collarbone on Rodgers’ throwing side. Plus, he needs surgery so it’s very unlikely Rodgers returns in 2017. On advanced lines, Green Bay had been a 6-point favorite for this game so Rodgers is worth more than 10 points. On BetOnline’s advanced odds, the Packers had been second-favorites to win the Super Bowl but are now +2500. They are +1200 for the NFC and +190 in the North. If you saw Brett Hundley in Rodgers’ place vs. Minnesota, I don’t see how you can have much faith in him.

  • Saints are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Free NFL Pick: Saints -6Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Hundley, a third-year player out of UCLA, was 18-for-33 for 157 yards, one TD and three picks vs. the Vikings. Apparently, the Packers feel comfortable for now with him and new backup Joe Callahan, who comes from little Wesley College. He was promoted from the practice squad. Both Colin Kaepernick and Tony Romo are from Wisconsin. Just saying. Not sure Romo would leave the booth, but Kaepernick would just at the chance. In that Vikings loss, the Packers also saw three starting offensive linemen get injured. The Saints (3-2) are above .500 for the first time since 2013. That snaps the longest streak in the NFL. (Not even the sorry Browns had gone that long without a winning record.) The Saints looked terrible the first two weeks, especially defensively, but have won three straight – Carolina, Miami and Detroit – all by at least 14 points. Running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara combined for 237 yards from scrimmage against the Lions on Sunday and the Saints had three defensive touchdowns, a franchise record. Brees completed 21 for 31 passes for 186 yards and touchdowns.

  • Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-2 in Packers last 9 games in October.
Free NFL Pick: Under 48Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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