NFL Week 7 Pick: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, September 5, 2017 11:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 5, 2017 11:21 PM UTC

Hopefully you aren’t planning on attending this game and didn’t get the memo: It was originally scheduled for 1 p.m. but shifted to 4:25 last week. Survivor Pick: Pittsburgh.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5, 41.5)

This might be the most heated rivalry in the NFL these days; the Bengals probably have supplanted the Ravens as Pittsburgh’s arch-enemies. Last season, the Steelers swept. It was 24-16 at home in Week 2 as Ben Roethlisberger threw for 259 yards and three scores to overcome two picks. Le’Veon Bell missed the game and DeAngelo Williams had 94 yards and a touchdown. Andy Dalton passed for 366 yards and a touchdown, but A.J. Green was quiet. In Week 15 in Cincinnati, the Steelers were down 20-9 at the half but won 24-20. Chris Boswell had six field goals. Big Ben hit Eli Rogers on a 24-yard TD pass midway through the fourth quarter for the winning points. The Bengals have won two consecutive games and enter Week 7 coming off a bye so they are about as healthy as possible – although former Pro Bowl tight end Tyler Eifert is done for the year. The Steelers lead the AFC North with a 4-2 record and last week upset the previously unbeaten Chiefs 19-13 at Arrowhead Stadium. I think there’s a good chance of a let down here for the Steelers, who haven’t really put two great games back-to-back yet. They probably win but it will be close.

  • Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Free NFL Pick: Bengals +5.5Best Line Offered: JustBet

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When the Steelers get big games from Bell and Antonio Brown, they aren’t going to lose very often. That was the case against Kansas City as Bell rushed for 179 yards with a touchdown and Brown had eight catches for 155 yards with a touchdown. It was only the third time in franchise history in which the Steelers had a 150+ yard rusher and a 150+ yard receiver in the same game. Brown leads the NFL in receptions (48) and receiving yards (700) but hasn’t had a 100-yard receiving game against the Bengals in the regular season since 2014. His last touchdown catch against Cincinnati was in 2015. Meanwhile, the Bengals’ Green is averaging 100.8 receiving yards per game in 2017, second only to Brown’s 116.7. Cincinnati has played much better offensively since Marvin Lewis fired his offensive coordinator. Andy Dalton has just seven touchdown passes and two picks in the past three games combined compared to zero TDs and four picks in the first two of the season, both losses. This total is about four points too low, in my opinion. Plus Big Ben always plays better at home.

  • Over is 21-8-1 in Bengals last 30 games in October.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Free NFL Pick: Over 41.5Best Line Offered: Intertops

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