NFL Week 6 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs

Matthew Jordan

Monday, September 4, 2017 10:29 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 4, 2017 10:29 PM UTC

The marquee matchup of Sunday in Week 6 has to be this rematch of last year’s Divisional Round game won by Pittsburgh. Payback for unbeaten Chiefs? Survivor Pick: Kansas City.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-5, 45.5)

Kansas City can almost start selling playoff tickets as the NFL’s lone unbeaten. Since the NFL expanded the playoff field to 12 in 1990, 44 of the previous 50 teams (88 percent) to start 5-0 made the playoffs. Is it time to finally recognize that Alex Smith is a good NFL quarterback? The guy is no longer a game manager, at least not in 2017. He leads the NFL with a rating of 125.8 and has had a least a rating of 100 in all five games. Only three guys have done it his team’s first six games of a season: Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers (2011), New England’s (2007) and then-Cincinnati Bengal Carson Palmer (2005). Rodgers and Brady both won NFL MVP honors those years. Pittsburgh has been inconsistent at 3-2 with bad losses to the Bears and last week to the Jaguars but very impressive wins (by the same 26-9 score) against Minnesota and Baltimore. The Steelers were 2-0 vs. the Chiefs last year, winning in blowout fashion at home early in the regular season and then 18-16 in the Divisional Round of the playoffs – a victory despite not scoring a touchdown. This feels like a trap game for Kansas City and if the line were 7.5, I’d go Pittsburgh. But not at 5.5.

  • Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City.
  • Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -5Best Line Offered: SportsBetting

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Ben Roethlisberger comes off a horrid game vs. the Jaguars where he was picked off a career-high five times and had two returned for scores. But he’s 6-0 in his career as a starter against Kansas City with huge numbers. He threw for five scores in a 43-14 win in Week 4 last year. Le’Veon Bell loves facing the Chiefs, too. He has 435 rushing yards in his past three games against them. Then there’s receiver Antonio Brown, who looks for a fifth consecutive game (including the playoffs) against the Chiefs with at least 100 receiving yards or a TD catch. Meanwhile, Kansas City leads the NFL in points, Smith is playing the best ball of his career and rookie running back Kareem Hunt leads the NFL in rushing (609 yards) and scrimmage yards (775). Hunt’s scrimmage yards are the third-most in NFL history by a rookie in his team’s first five games, trailing only Eric Dickerson (787 in 1938) and Adrian Peterson (782 in 2007). When these two played in the Divisional Round, it was a boring defensive game. This shouldn’t be even if Kansas City is without star tight end Travis Kelce (concussion).

  • Over is 7-2 in Steelers last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.
Free NFL Pick: Over 45.5Best Line Offered: The Greek

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