NFL Week 5 Predictions - False Favorite & Top Dogs

Detroit Lion wide receiver in action

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 11:22 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2016 11:22 PM UTC

I am already 10-2 for this weekly section and eager to continue sharing my predictions. So join me for this weeks NFL Top Dogs & False Favorite picks.

I have started 10-2 for this specific article. For this week, your football expert has gone over all the NFL betting odds at A+ rated Bookmaker and has three more releases, seeking, even more success for NFL Week 5.


Top Dog - Lions Come Out Roaring Against 3-0 Eagles

I can already see you rolling your eyes, Detroit! The Lions have lost three in a row, looked unprepared for Chicago in defeat and Golden Tate has turned into a negative. This is the perfect coach Jim Caldwell situation, when all is lost, Detroit steps up. Philadelphia has been the biggest shocker in the NFL and they deserve to be where they are. When betting football, often the best time to back a bad team is when one is at its highest point and other at its lowest, particularly in the first half of season. The Lions going up to +3 is welcome and we find favorites like Philly scoring 27 or more points a game, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight contests, are 7-31 ATS the next time out. Detroit is Top Dog!

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False Favorite - Los Angeles Not That Good

Among the most overrated coaches in the NFL is Rex Ryan, but throughout his career, when his team's starting "feeling it", they can get on rolls. Beating Arizona and the Patriots in New England, even without Tom Brady, gives the Bills a huge shot of confidence. The offense is coming around the defense is generating more pressure in its blitzing schemes. Los Angeles has won three in a row with no running and is 30th ranked passing offense. The Rams defense is carrying them, but are they really good enough to win four in a row despite being out-statted each time? Teams like Los Angeles off a win over a division rival as an underdog of six points or more are 6-25 ATS the next contest. Bills Outright.

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Top Dog - Chargers Ripe to Cover at Oakland

While Chargers coach Mike McCoy deserves larger share of the blame for San Diego being 3-12 SU the past two years in game determined by eight points or less, his frustration in losing to New Orleans is on the players, after they blew 13-point fourth quarter lead at home with two turnovers and porous defense. Can the Chargers overcome themselves to win at Oakland? I'm not counting on San Diego victory, but I will not ignore the Raiders have had one winning home season in 13 years (2010) and are disastrous 6-22 ATS as home favorites since 2005. One last caveat, the underdog is magnificent 13-1 ATS the last seven seasons. The Bolts are Top Dog action.

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