NFL Week 5 Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, August 30, 2017 10:47 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 30, 2017 10:47 PM UTC

Bears fans haven’t had much to cheer about this season with their team off to a 1-3 start, but there’s one big reason to pay attention to Monday’s game vs. the Vikings. Survivor Pick: Chicago.

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+3, TBA total)

This might be the biggest sports night of the year in Chicago. That’s because the Cubs host the Washington Nationals in Game 3 of the NL Division Series and the Bears unveil their potential franchise quarterback in rookie No. 2 overall pick Mitchell Trubisky. Many Bears fans always had this game circled as his first start because it’s at home and Trubisky would have extra time to prepare following Chicago’s Week 4 trip to Green Bay on a Thursday night. That game was an embarrassment regarding $45 million free-agent quarterback Mike Glennon as he turned the ball over four times in the blowout loss. Glennon has been a total bust and probably doesn’t see the field again in 2017 barring a Trubisky injury or the rookie being completely overwhelmed. Who starts at quarterback for Minnesota? It’s probably going to be Case Keenum for a fourth straight week as the Vikings continue to be vague about the knee injury suffered to Sam Bradford. There won’t be a total until that’s decided. I’m predicting this game with the expectation it’s Keenum. These teams split last year.

  • Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Chicago.
  • Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Free NFL Pick: Bears +3Best Line Offered: Bet365

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One would expect Chicago to be rather run-heavy behind their Thunder and Lightning backfield of Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen, but the Vikings run defense has held opponents to 71.3 yards per game (fourth in the NFL) and 3.0 yards per rush (fourth). By comparison, the Vikings rank 26th in yards allowed via the pass. It’s just that the Bears have no good receivers. Keenum was excellent in his one victory and predictably not good in his two losses. The Vikings begin life without their most talented offensive player in rookie running back Dalvin Cook, who suffered a season-ending torn ACL in last week’s 14-7 home loss to Detroit. It will be a combination now of Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon. Chicago ranks Top 10 in total defense but is without top linebacker Danny Trevathan, a tackling machine, due to suspension. The losing team scored 10 points in both meetings last year. Wouldn’t surprise me if it happens again. This total won’t be high, but I doubt the teams combine for more than 32 points.

  • Under is 16-5 in Vikings last 21 vs. NFC North.
  • Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Free NFL Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: SportsBetting

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