NFL Week 5 Opening Odds, Lines Report & Top Picks

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, September 30, 2014 12:59 PM GMT

As we head into Week 5 of NFL betting, we look at two matchups that practically leap off page as value NFL picks: Falcons vs. Giants and Ravens vs. Colts.

Atlanta Falcons vs. NY Giants

Giants Favoured Over Top Falcons Offense
Giants enter their Week 5 NFL date with the Atlanta Falcons as the hot 4-point favourites. This NFL betting line represents growing respect on one side followed by plunging respect on the other. Giants opened the season behind two abysmal defeats that led to widespread criticism and disenchantment with Eli Manning and the Giants as a whole.

Since Week 3's NFL picks, the Giants have reeled off two straight victories however – a 30-17 victory at home to the Texans and a 45-14 victory on the road in Washington; the latter they beat while matched as the 3-point underdogs. McAdoo’s quick-strike offense seems to be finally in-sync as the Giants are steadily climbing up the offensive charts, namely scoring 25.8 points per game.

Falcons succumbed to a shocking 41-28 defeat to a Vikings side that saw the NFL debut of rookie Teddy Bridgewater in Week 4. That a struggling Vikings side was able to hang 41 points on the league’s worst defense statistically has led to this NFL betting disenchantment. It certainly bodes well for the Giants even if the Falcons still have one of the league’s top offenses – second in passing at 322.3 yards per game and 32.8 points.

NFL Picks: Giants -4

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

Baltimore Underdogs For The First Time This Season
Baltimore Ravens travel as the 3.5-point underdogs to Indianapolis in week 5 NFL betting. It’s the first opportunity for NFL bettors to back the Ravens as underdogs this season. Through four games, the Ravens have only enjoyed favouritism and have come up with a 2-1-1 ATS mark. They opened on a 23-16 defeat to the Bengals as the nominal home chalk, but followed up with three straight wins over Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Carolina.

By contrast, Indianapolis Colts enter their fourth straight game as the chalk this season. After an opening 31-24 defeat to the Denver Broncos – the only game in which they were the pups against the spread – the Colts have received the favourable nod three times to go 2-1 ATS. (Overall, they are 3-1 ATS after covering as the 8-point pups against the Broncos).

As things currently stand in Week 5 NFL odds, the Colts boast the league’s top offense – they are first in passing yards with an average of 326.0 yards per game and 34.0 points per game. Consider they've lost their first two games against Denver and Philadelphia. Then had two straightforward games in a row against the Jaguars and Titans – two sides that have been leaking points like nobody’s business – and one has to wonder how much merit those stats warrant. Jaguars allowed the Colts to get away with 529 total yards of offense, 370 yards of which Luck accounted for alone as he went 31-of-39 passes for four touchdowns and no interceptions. Similarly, the Titans allowed Andrew Luck to go 29-of-41 for 393 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. The bulk of the NFC South division is severely lacking in defensive prowess, something the Colts have exposed to their benefit.

The Colts (2-2 SU) won’t have it so easy or straightforward against a stout Ravens defense and more than competent offense spearheaded by Joe Flacco. Keep in mind the Ravens (3-1SU) faced much stiffer opposition through the first four weeks of the NFL 2014 season; namely, Cincinnati Bengals, Pittsburgh Steelers and Carolina Panthers, the latter two of which they had their way with hanging 64 points on them combined while conceding just 16. Indeed, the Ravens looked utterly dominant against a very good Panthers side in week 4’s 38-10 victory. Gary Kubiak’s offense was firing at all cylinders and Steve Smith was a one-man destruction-show as he brought his former team to its knees. Granted the Colts have home advantage and the Ravens typically struggle away, not least in Week 3 when they barely beat the Browns 23-21. But if last week were an indication of what’s to come, the Ravens would appear to be a steal NFL pick.

NFL Picks: Ravens +3.5 at YouWager

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