The Sunday Night Game is being portrayed as a potential blowout. The NFL Odds have the Seahawks as -13 favorites at Bovada, but while that may be the case in this one that just means we need to look to prop offerings from Bovada to find some value to close out Sunday of Week 4.
The Seahawks’ defense has been one of the only things saving them from having a worse start. The offense has been terrible, and the rushing defense hasn’t been that great either. So, that leaves the secondary and Richard Sherman to slow down the Colts’ passing attack in this one.
Jacoby Brissett isn’t a great passer, but he and TY Hilton have gained some chemistry recently, and I look for that to play in this one. If the Seahawks win by as much as the sportsbooks are suggesting, Hilton is going to have a chance at a lot of garbage time yards late in this contest.
I expect the Colts to struggle to move the ball early in the game, but after the Seahawks eventually get a lead against this below average Colts defense, I expect the Hawks’ defense to back off some and let the Colts play dink and dunk. Hilton could see a lot of those looks too.
Donte Moncrief has been just short of terrible to start the season, and Marlon Mack is not yet that reliable third down back for this team. That leaves Hilton and probably Hilton alone to be the main pass catcher on first, second and third down.
Even with the tough matchup, it would not surprise me to see Hilton with only one or two catches in the first half of this one, only to catch five or more balls in the second half to go over the total for this prop bet.Free NFL Pick: OVER 62 ½ (-115)Best Line Offered: at Bovada Jacoby Brissett O/U 219 ½ Passing Yards
In almost the same exact reasoning for the pick above, I also like Jacoby Brissett to go over his passing yards total from Bovada. As +13 underdogs the Colts are likely going to have to throw the ball a lot. The Seahawks’ haven’t been great at stopping the run, but the Colts’ running game is also not one you fear.
Plus, while the Hawks’ run defense has been shaky, if it wasn’t for a stat-stuffing game against the 49ers, the Seahawks might rank around the middle of the pack in passing defense.
They gave up more than 300 yards to Aaron Rodgers in Week 1, and last week if it wasn’t for the Titans running all over them, they would have allowed more than 225 passing yards to Marcus Mariota.
The Colts will not go into Seattle and play with the lead at any time of this game, so with a positive game script and a softer Seattle defense than seasons past, look for the over to cash in this one as well.Free NFL Pick: OVER 219 ½ (-115)Best Line Offered: at Bovada