NFL Week 4 Pick: Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs

Matthew Jordan

Monday, August 28, 2017 11:30 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 28, 2017 11:30 PM UTC

Week 4 closes out with the AFC’s lone unbeaten team hosting a Redskins squad that has never won a game at Kansas City’s Arrowhead Stadium. That won’t change. Survivor Pick: Kansas City.

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5, 49)

The Chiefs are getting little respect from sportsbooks as they have looked like arguably the NFL’s most impressive team thus far (Atlanta is the only other unbeaten) and already won at New England, yet both the Patriots and Steelers have shorter odds to win the AFC title. I’m also quite sure that Coach Andy Reid could give two s**ts about the futures odds. Could this be a bit of a trap game for the Chiefs in between last week’s trip to the AFC West rival LA Chargers and then a visit to Houston next Sunday night in Week 5? Washington and Arizona are the only two current teams to never win at Arrowhead. The Skins are just 1-8 all-time in the series, their worst winning percentage against any team. I take almost nothing from that, however, since very few players on either side played in the last meeting in 2013, a 45-10 Chiefs win in Landover.

  • Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
  • Chiefs are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -6.5Best Line Offered: The Greek

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The Redskins played their best defensive game in a long time last Sunday night in holding the high-powered Raiders to 10 points, 128 yards, seven first downs and 0-for-11 third-down conversions. This unit is improved from last year, but it’s not that good. Oakland simply might have been flat. Washington is hoping to get back two starters, running back Rob Kelley and tight end Jordan Reed, back from injuries for this one. You don’t think of the Chiefs as a great offensive team but they have scored at least 24 points in every game. Rookie running back Kareem Hunt is a stud. The former Toledo star leads the league with 538 scrimmage yards, the second-most by a player in his first three career games in NFL history (Billy Sims with 562). Hunt’s six TDs this season are tied with Sims (1980 Detroit) and someone named Dutch Sternaman (1920 Decatur Staleys) for the most by a player in his first three games. This screams shootout to me.

  • Over is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 road games.
  • Over is 9-2-1 in Chiefs last 12 games in Week 4.
Free NFL Pick: Over 49Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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