NFL Week 4 Pick: Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks

Matthew Jordan

Monday, August 28, 2017 11:29 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 28, 2017 11:29 PM UTC

Both the Colts and Seahawks are 1-2 entering Sunday night’s matchup, but oddsmakers see them much differently as Seattle is easily the biggest favorite of Week 4. Survivor Pick: Seattle.

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks (-13, 41.5)

This will mark the 12th all-time regular season meeting between the teams, with Indianapolis leading the series, 7-4. The last matchup came on Oct. 6, 2013, when the Colts defeated Seattle, 34-28, at Lucas Oil Stadium. I don’t know about you, but when the NFL schedule was released I was looking forward to this game as the second matchup between Class of 2012 quarterbacks Andrew Luck of the Colts and Russell Wilson of the Seahawks. However, Luck has yet to play (or even practice as of this writing) since January shoulder surgery and he’s out. Don’t look for him until Week 6. Jacoby Brissett gets the start again, and the former Patriots third-stringer accounted for three touchdowns in last week’s win over Cleveland that might have kept Coach Chuck Pagano from the unemployment line. Seattle was frankly out-Seattle’d in Week 3 in Tennessee. Wilson had a big game, but the defense was largely pushed around, something you rarely see. Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 19-3-1 in prime-time games, including 12-1 at CenturyLink Field. No doubt Seattle wins, but 13 is a ton of points. 

  • Colts are 26-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Seahawks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October.
Free NFL Pick: Colts +13Best Line Offered: WagerWeb

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Indianapolis managed just 22 combined points the first two weeks – Brissett’s an OK player but don’t get too excited, Colts fans, over scoring 31 points on a lousy Cleveland defense. Seattle totaled just 21 points in its first two games before 27 in last week’s loss. The running game is doing very little, with rookie Chris Carson now apparently the featured back. Eddie Lacy and Thomas Rawls have been essentially forgotten. Interesting that Seattle is a 13-point favorite here considering it scored fewer than 13 points in each of the first two games. Will Wilson have No. 1 receiver Doug Baldwin for this one? That’s up in the air as he left the Titans game with a groin injury. I’m surprised this total is in the 40s as the Seahawks could easily shut out Indy – and Seattle isn’t scoring 40 itself.

  • Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-5 in Seahawks last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
Free NFL Pick: Under 41.5Best Line Offered: Youwager

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