NFL Week 3 Pick: Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, August 24, 2017 8:55 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 24, 2017 8:55 PM UTC

You have to really love yourself some NFL football to watch the Browns-Colts matchup in Week 3 as those two teams are utter messes right now.

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (+1, 40)

I'm trying to think of something nice to say about Cleveland and Indianapolis. They both have much-improved downtown areas? That's about all I got. Survivor Pick: Indianapolis.

Well, here's something I never thought I would type in 2017: the Cleveland Browns are road favorites! At least to open they are. The last time it happened? Oct. 19, 2014, at Jacksonville, a 24-6 Jaguars win. But Cleveland has covered seven of its past 10 as a road favorite. That also dates back to 2002, so a big grain of salt. Clearly, Indianapolis would be favored here by at least a field goal if it had Andrew Luck, but the franchise has completely botched his delayed return from January shoulder surgery. To no surprise, Luck already has been ruled out for Week 3. Former Patriots third-stringer Jacoby Brissett, acquired on the eve of the season, gets the call again. He was decent in last week's 16-13 OT loss to Arizona -- before throwing an interception in the extra period that lead to the Cardinals' winning field goal. Then again, the Browns aren't looking any better and have lost starting receiver Corey Coleman to a broken hand. Only reason I like Indy here is that it feels wrong to bet Cleveland as a road favorite. Can't bring myself to do it.

  • Browns are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Free NFL Pick: Colts +1Best Line Offered: Heritage

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Leaning the under here has nothing to do with either team's mediocre-to-bad defense. It's all about the inexperienced quarterbacks. Brissett was a third-string project (and available) for a reason. Browns rookie QB DeShone Kizer really shouldn't be starting, but I guess why not throw him to the wolves since Cleveland is going to suck anyway. Kizer turned the ball over four times -- and left for a bit due to a migraine -- in the Week 2 24-10 loss to Baltimore. The guy wasn't very accurate at Notre Dame and he's not yet as a professional. And now Kizer doesn't have Coleman, who had six catches for 62 yards and a TD. His injury depletes a receiving corps that has caught just 19 of 40 passes thrown to them. Veteran Kenny Britt, who was brought in to essentially replace Terrelle Pryor, has just two catches for 15 yards. This could easily end in a baseball score.

  • Under is 8-2 in Browns last 10 games overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 home games.
Free NFL Pick: Under 40Best Line Offered: Bodog

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