With Week 1 in the books, adjustments will be made in Week 2 and it is up to us to not overreact to what we saw. There is some real value available and we will look to make a parlay to cash in on some Week 2 action.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Sunday, September 20, 2020 – 01:00 PM EDT at Hard Rock Stadium
Bills Look To Build Off Strong Start
Before Week 1, the Buffalo Bills had the best odds to win the AFC East for the first time in two plus decades. They took care of business in Week 1 against a team that they are supposed to beat. If you're going to win your division, you need to beat your direct rivals so a win against the Jets was a great way to start the season. Considering how the Patriots looked in their opener, winning the division might be a little more complicated than previously thought.
That said, the Bills have another chance to stake their claim for a division title on Sunday against another AFC East foe, the Miami Dolphins. This line opened at Buffalo -3 on the NFL odds board and has been bet all the way up to -6 at some of the top online sports betting sites. I'm taking the Bills -5.5 (-110) which is available at BetOnline. I'm still not comfortable laying too many points with the Bills but I think their defense has enough of an advantage to win this game. The Bills' new-look offense looked good and the combination of their elite defense with their improved offense gives me confidence that they will do enough to cover this spread against Miami.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
Sunday, September 20, 2020 - 01:00 PM EDT at Lambeau Field
Aaron Rodgers Looks Focused
The best quarterback in the game is a debate that rages on every season. Most people will say that it's Patrick Mahomes and that's a fair pick. In my opinion, if he's 100% healthy, Aaron Rodgers is still the best quarterback in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers as an organization have done a pathetic job in terms of surrounding Rodgers with offensive talent. In their defense, the current version of their team does do one thing that Rodgers has never really benefited from; they play defense and run the ball.
Last year, the Packers were good but they weren't great yet they were able to win 13 games and made it to within one game of the Super Bowl. Although they were disappointing against the 49ers in that game, the Packers have a ton of reason to be optimistic. They brought back the same group with a full year of coach Matt LaFleur's system under their belt. It also appears that Rodgers and LaFleur are finally on the same page after a bit of initial friction.
The truth of the matter is, LaFleur wants to run the ball and if he can do that successfully, it will make Rodgers unstoppable. It will also mean that Rodgers has to be perfect for his team to win which has been the case for most of his career. The injuries were starting to pile up for Rodgers and that was a direct result of the fact that he always had to drop back to pass for this team to win.
The Packers are favored by less than a touchdown in a game they will be fired up to win. They know that winning the AFC North is their easiest path to the Super Bowl and they started off the season with a win over the 2nd best team in the division. If they beat the Lions in Week 2, they will be well on their way to establishing themselves as kings of the north. As for the spread, I'm taking the Packers -6 (-110) with my NFL picks at BetOnline.
I'm parlaying the Packers with the Bills in two division battles. I can see both teams picking up where they left off. They both have big-time advantages on one side of the ball (Bills defense, Packers offense) and I see that being just enough for both to cover these spreads this weekend in their respective division battles.
My Pick: Two-Team Parlay Pays +260