Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books and the NFL Odds for Week 2 have opened and there is already some steady movement in multiple NFL Week 2 markets. Find out which ones might move more, or which ones may have value for this week.
Thursday, September 17, 2020
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
The battle of Ohio kicks off our Week 2 betting action this week with Joe Burrow and the Bengals heading into Cleveland to face the Browns. Cleveland opened up as a -8 favorite in the NFL Odds, but that was quickly hammered down to -6. The Bengals have the pieces to put one together here on the road and with a total of just 43 ½ (down from 46) sharp bettors apparently agree. I’m even seeing a -5 ½, so -6 may not be there for much longer.
Sunday, September 20, 2020
Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Rams barely squeaked by the Cowboys despite a really poor offensive game in Week 1. Now they are headed into Philly to play an Eagles team who might have suffered the worst Week 1 loss of all 32 teams. NFL Odds for this one have noticed that and have been hammered by early week action. After opening at -4 in favor of the Eagles, the Rams have shifted to -1 ½ favorites, so if you didn’t get in on it early, you may have missed the value in this one.
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Bucs
Three of the four NFC South teams started 0-1 and two of them are playing one another in Week 2. The Bucs are once again getting all the love as -9 favorites. There are even betting sites with the Bucs at -9 ½. After being a nice fade Week 1, the Bucs enter Week 2 with Mike Evans still banged up and having to win by double figures against an offense that looked pretty damn good in Week 1. If you wait until later in the week and more public money comes in on the Bucs, hammer the Panthers as double digit dogs.
Denver Broncos vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh grinded out a win in Week 1 against the Giants and are once again favorites as they make their home debut against the Broncos. The NFL Odds are favoring Pittsburgh by -6 ½ points with a total that has been hammered early and often. After opening at 43 ½ points, the total now sits as low as 41. Some shops are still hanging around in the 42 ½ range though, so there may still be an opportunity to chase that steam if you’re leaning under as well.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys
From one of the lowest total games to one of the highest we go as Dallas plays host to the Falcons. The NFL Odds for this one are 52 points and after Atlanta’s defense allowed 38 points in Week 1, you can bet the Cowboys are going to be expected to score a ton as well. Dallas however, has been one of the more popular fades so far in early week betting. After opening as -7 ½ favorites, the Cowboys are now just -4 ½ across most shops.
San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Jets
The Jets are going to be one of the more popular fades each and every week and it appears both the public and the sharps can agree on that. After opening as +5 home dogs, the Jets are now +7 market-wide with only a few -6 ½’s left. This game is one of a handful with totals in the low forties and it looks like this game has, like the others, been hit early-week on the under.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Speaking of road favorites getting hit with early-week action, the Bills are getting all the early money in their road game down to Miami. Buffalo opened as -3 road favorites and are all the way up to -5 ½ now. The total is also down from 43 to 41, which now represents the lowest Week 2 total as of Tuesday.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts lost their most dynamic runner to a torn Achilles last week and now will have to rely on rookie Jonathan Taylor and third-year receiving specialist, Nyheim Hines. They have a tough test in their home opener this Sunday. Indy comes into this one as -3 favorites and this total is one of the few that bettors have favored the over in the early odds. After opening at 46 ½, there are several 48’s on the board.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
This NFC North showdown in Week 2 could be one of the better games on the slate. NFL Odds makers have opened the Packers at -6 ½ favorites at home and it appears to be settling pretty close to that. Unlike some of these other games that have seen four-to-six point swings in the early markets, this one hasn’t budged much yet. The Lions do appear to be getting some action though because the line seems to be settling at +6 with one or two +5 ½ lines as well.
New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears
After not showing much life on offense in Week 1 against the Steelers, the Giants are now on the road in Chicago for Week 2. The Bears’ run game looked pretty solid in Week 1 and if they can keep that up against the Giants this week, the Bears might start 2-0 this season. However, I won’t be betting on them this week because their price of -6 is a little rich for me, even after they opened as -5 favorites.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
Our lone double-digit underdog on the Week 2 slate wasn’t around for long and it appears sharp bettors made sure of that. The Jaguars opened up as +11 dogs but after only about 36 hours of betting, we are already down to +9 and it looks like not a whole lot of money has come back in on the Titans the other way. This is one to watch for sure this week.
Washington Football Club vs. Arizona Cardinals
Washington pulled out a great Week 1 win and now they are heading across the country to play a dynamic Arizona offense. Good luck there, Football Club. The NFL Odds have the Cards favored by a touchdown and extra point in this one with a total of 46 points that hasn’t budged much since it opened. This is the first of three late games so it’s another one to watch as we head into Sunday afternoon.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans
Baltimore looked great in Week 1 and now they are on the road in Houston for Week 2 as solid road favorites. The NFL Odds makers have Lamar Jackson and company favored by -6 ½ and the sportsbooks also seem to think that this one could be a higher scoring affair. However, early money has come in on the under after the total opened at 54 points. It’s down to 52 ½ at most shops.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. LA Chargers
The Chiefs are another road favorite that has just seen their odds lengthen since they opened. Kansas City is anywhere from -7 ½ to -9 road favorites this week against Tyrod Taylor and the Chargers and it’s another one where the sharps and public are on the same side. However, the line movement with the total has been a little strange because you’d expect the total to go up with action coming in on the favorite. That has not been the case so far as the total has dropped from 51 to 47 points. Watch this game like a hawk because things will start to settle soon and you can definitely still find value with this range of movement and market variance.
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks
The closer to Sunday’s action should be a great one with the Patriots heading into Seattle to play the Seahawks. Odds makers have Seattle as a -3 favorite right now with a few -3 ½’s left on the board too. A lot of shops are still waiting to put a line out for this one, so as with all the late starts in Week 2, watch these lines move to see if you can catch some value when they do.
Monday, September 21, 2020
New Orleans Saints vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The finale of Week 2 should also be a nice offensive affair with the Saints headed into Las Vegas. New Orleans is the last of six road favorites we talk about this week and they too have seen some early money move their NFL Odds. New Orleans is sitting as a-5 ½ or -6 favorite right now with a total of 51 ½. All of these road favorite won’t cash. There will be at least two or three of them that lose ATS, but finding those is harder than it sounds. After beating the Bucs badly in Week 1, I’m not quick to fade New Orleans here.