It’s the final week of the NFL regular season, and with the final week approaching, it’s time to look at some more NFL Odds from bet365’s prop pages. I have found three favorable NFL Picks for the player-prop realm this week, and all three have great value.
Jonathon Stewart TD Scored
Even though DeAngleo Williams will likely make his return to the lineup this week, Jonathon Stewart’s performance last week I think has earned him extra reps this week despite his backfield mate being back. Coach Ron Rivera has already come out and said that Stewart will receive most of the carries, and even with Williams back, I expect Stewart to still get some red zone touches. This could be great for his touchdown value this week, especially against a team like the Falcons. Even though this game is in Atlanta, the Falcons’ defense is going to give up some points to the Panthers. On the season, the Falcons have given up 22 touchdowns to opposing running backs, which is head and shoulders the most of any team in the NFL this season. Stewart should get his chances, and against Atlanta, he should find the end zone for the second straight week.
NFL Pick: Stewart TD Scored (+115)
Matt Stafford O/U 279.5 passing yards
The Lions and Packers will kick off tomorrow for all (almost) the marbles. Even though both teams have already clinched playoff berths, the winner of this game will win the division and have the first week of the playoffs off. That makes this game even bigger, but on the road this season, Matt Stafford has not been that great on the road recently. I am all over the Packers here, not only because I think they have the better team and QB, but Stafford’s struggles on the road have been well documented recently. Stafford has not thrown a touchdown pass on the road since October 26th, and in his last three road games, he has not thrown for more than 264 yards, and he is averaging only 230 passing yards per game in that span. Now in the elements in Lambeau Field this week, I doubt things are going to improve. Stafford is proving to not be a great QB, and I think this game will be even more proof of that. Take the under with confidence on our NFL odds.
NFL Pick: Stafford UNDER 279.5 passing yards (-120)
Eddie Royal O/U 54.5 receiving yards
I think it’s safe to say that Eddie Royal has never made an appearance in my NFL Picks for props this season, but I could not pass up the value that is popping up. Royal’s receiving yards total is far too high for the matchup they have this week against the Chiefs, and despite his big game last week, Royal has not faired well this season at big yards totals. Sure he will go off every once in a while, but the Chiefs are going to do everything they can to keep the Chargers’ offense grounded. Plus, Royal has only exceeded 55 yards receiving this season four times, which doesn’t give you too much reassurance with his yards total where it is. Don’t chase the yards from last week with Royal here in Week 17. Take the under, and add it to your NFL Picks.
NFL Pick: Royal UNDER 54.5 receiving yards (-120)