NFL Week 17 Pick: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, December 26, 2017 7:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2017 7:13 PM UTC

Nothing much going on here as the Chiefs are locked into their playoff seeding and the Broncos are finishing off a mega-disappointing campaign. Survivor Pick: Denver.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-3, 39)

I highly doubt you see many Chiefs starters for long in this game. Kansas City clinched the AFC West with its third straight win Sunday, 29-13 over the visiting Miami Dolphins, also eliminating both the Fins and the Oakland Raiders from playoff contention. Alex Smith threw for 304 yards and a touchdown, and Kareem Hunt ran for 91 yards and a score. Hunt is likely going to finish second in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year voting behind the Saints’ Alvin Kamara. Smith surpassed 4,000 yards passing this season for the first time in his career. Cornerback Marcus Peters recovered a fumble and forced another, giving Peters a hand in five turnovers the past two weeks. It’s the first time the Chiefs have won back-to-back division titles, which is pretty surprising. They are locked into the No. 4 seed and probably will host the Baltimore Ravens on wild-card weekend. Could this be the finale for Broncos coach Vance Joseph after just one year? It’s possible John Elway bails on Joseph with the Broncos sitting last in the AFC West. They had a two-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 27-11 defeat at the Redskins. Washington's 386 offensive yards were the third most by a Denver opponent this season.

  • Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
Free NFL Pick: Broncos -2.5 (buy down from 3)Best Line Offered: Sports Interaction

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Chiefs fans can surely count on seeing first-round rookie quarterback Patrick Mahomes seeing his first NFL regular-season action. In fact, Coach Andy Reid might just start the rookie and keep Smith nice and safe on the bench. Mahomes will likely be their starter next season and playing against the Broncos is a great chance for him to prepare like he would have to in 2018. In 2013, the Chiefs were a wild-card team and locked into the fifth playoff seed, so Reid didn’t play Smith. The Chiefs gave the start to their backup quarterback at the time, Chase Daniel. Who starts at QB for Denver? Good question. Brock Osweiler started at QB over Paxton Lynch for the Broncos against the Redskins and was 22 of 38 for 193 yards with a fumble and an interception. If Lynch is healthy enough to play, it’s going to be the 2016 first-round pick. “Our goal is to see him play," Joseph said after Sunday's loss. "Absolutely, if he’s ready to play, he’ll play.” The hope was that Lynch would be under center for the final two regular season games, but his high-ankle sprain, sustained in Week 12, didn't fully heal in time. Denver lost in Kansas City on a Monday in Week 8, 29-19. The Chiefs forced five turnovers -- Peters returned a fumble 45 yards for a touchdown. Trevor Siemian threw three picks. He’s now done for the year.

  • Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games overall.
Free NFL Pick: Under 39Best Line Offered: Intertops

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