NFL Week 17 Pick: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, December 26, 2017 4:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2017 4:00 PM UTC

Last year the Packers visited the Lions in Week 17 and it was the most important game of that Sunday (Green Bay won). This one? Not so much. Survivor Pick: Detroit.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (-7.5, 43)

Is this the finale for Lions coach Jim Caldwell? I believe it will be – had the Lions made the playoffs, he probably would have survived. However, the team lost Sunday at a Cincinnati team that had quit a few weeks ago and had been outscored a combined 67-14 the previous two weeks in losses to the Bears and Vikings. That eliminated Detroit from wild-card contention and made this a worthless game. Matthew Stafford wasn’t all that sharp, going 19 of 35 for 203 yards with a touchdown and a pick. But his line was missing three guys as center Travis Swanson was out for the second straight game with a concussion, and guard T.J. Lang was inactive with a foot injury. Right tackle Rick Wagner missed his third game with an ankle injury. Both Lions owner Martha Ford and team president Rod Wood declined comment on Caldwell's future following the loss. That pretty much tells you everything. The Packers are in the midst of some controversy when they put Aaron Rodgers back on IR last week. NFL injured reserve rules allow a team to use a temporary IR slot on a player and have him return, as the Packers did with Rodgers. However, in order to be placed back on injured reserve, the player needs to suffer a new injury. If that is not the case, the team is obligated to release the player once he is healthy. Rodgers didn’t suffer a new injury in his return from a broken collarbone in Week 15 loss at Carolina. The next night, Atlanta won in Tampa to eliminate Green Bay from playoff contention. Can you imagine if the league made the Packers release Rodgers!? Obviously that won’t happen. Only take the Lions here if Stafford plays.

  • Packers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Free NFL Pick: Lions -7 (buy down from 7.5)Best Line Offered: Intertops

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3193269, "sportsbooksIds":[180,300,1389,3970,93], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

In Week 9 on a Monday night, the Lions got an incredibly rare win at Green Bay, 30-17. Stafford passed for 361 yards and two touchdowns to Marvin Jones. Ameer Abdullah added a 4-yard touchdown run for Detroit. The Packers, with Rodgers out, didn’t score a TD behind backup Brett Hundley until almost midway through the fourth quarter. Hundley finished 26 of 38 for 245 yards. Hundley stunk up the joint this past Saturday night in a 16-0 home loss to Minnesota. He was just 17 of 40 for 130 yards with two picks. The Packers dropped six passes, their most in a game since Week 15 of 2014, when they also had six drops against the Bills. It was the Packers' second shutout loss at home this season, something that had not happened since coach Mike McCarthy's first season in 2006. McCarthy says Hundley will start this week. Hundley set an NFL record for most attempts without a passing touchdown at home in a single season with 162 -- 35 more than the previous holder of the mark, Bob Avellini of the 1978 Bears. Receiver Jordy Nelson and tight end Richard Rodgers both left with injury and there’s no reason for them to play here. Ditto right tackle Jason Spriggs, who injured his knee. No. 1 WR Davante Adams missed the game with a concussion. I also wonder if perhaps Stafford sits since here he’s a bit banged up.

  • Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Under is 10-2 in Lions last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Free NFL Pick: Under 43Best Line Offered: JustBet

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3193269, "sportsbooksIds":[1275,186,1439,169,999993], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here