NFL Week 16 Pick: Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, October 5, 2017 11:24 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 5, 2017 11:24 PM UTC

It’s a marquee matchup Sunday late afternoon between the Seahawks and Cowboys, who get superstar running back Ezekiel Elliott back from suspension. Survivor Pick: Dallas.

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (-5, 47)

Commissioner Roger Goodell would never admit rooting for a team, but I guarantee he is rooting for the Cowboys here because he wants to see the NFL’s most popular franchise in the postseason. Cowboys games always draw huge TV ratings and betting action at SBR’s top sportsbooks. Both clubs are 8-6 and the loser is out of the wild-card chase. Seattle technically can still win the NFC West but would have to win twice and have the Rams lost twice, which is unlikely. For a wild-card spot, the Seahawks must win out, have the Lions lose once and the Falcons twice. Had the Seahawks swept the Rams, they almost surely would have made the postseason. If this game ends in a tie and the Falcons beat the Saints, Dallas, Seattle and Detroit all will be eliminated from the playoffs. The Cowboys can get in by winning out, but like Seattle needs the Lions to lose either this Week at Cincinnati or home to Aaron Rodgers-less Green Bay in Week 17 so Detroit finishes no better than 9-7. Dallas also must have Atlanta lose its final two games. The Falcons are in New Orleans in the early window on Sunday so it’s possible this game could mean nothing by the time it kicks off. This marks the fifth time this season that the Seahawks have been a road underdog and they are 1-3 SU & ATS.

  • Seahawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Cowboys are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Free NFL Pick: Cowboys -5Best Line Offered: Bet365

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The biggest non-playoff news here is the return of Cowboys superstar running back Ezekiel Elliott, the 2016 NFL rushing king, from his six-game suspension. He had really blown up in his final four games before that took effect. The Cowboys lost their first three without him and totaled only 22 points but then won the next three, including a thriller Sunday night in Oakland where the Cowboys got very lucky twice – on an index card measurement and a Derek Carr goal-line fumble. The Seahawks were trashed 42-7 at home by the Rams last week, the worst loss in the Pete Carroll era. That Seattle defense is nowhere near what it used to be and has had stopping the run over the past two weeks in allowing 141 yards rushing to the Jaguars and then a whopping 244 to Todd Gurley and the Rams. Will the Cowboys have Pro Bowl left tackle Tyron Smith? He is questionable after suffering a knee injury vs. the Raiders but the ACL and MCL are both intact. Byron Bell would replace him, and Bell has been treated like a ragdoll more often than not by opposing defensive ends when he has had to play. First meeting since 2015 when Seattle won 13-12 in Dallas. This one should have more points than that by midway through the second quarter.

  • Over is 15-7 in Seahawks last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Free NFL Pick: Over 47Best Line Offered: Bovada

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