NFL Week 16 Pick: Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, December 19, 2017 11:33 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 19, 2017 11:33 PM UTC

The Cincinnati Bengals have completely quit on the season, which is good news for a Lions team that still has some hope for an NFC wild-card spot. Survivor Pick: Detroit.

Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5, 43)

It’s quite possible that neither head coach on Sunday is back with his current team next year. Reports were Sunday that Marvin Lewis, the NFL’s second-longest tenured coach in the league behind Bill Belichick, is going to walk away from the team after the season. He doesn’t have a contract but still is hoping to latch on as a coach somewhere. Frankly, Lewis was surely going to get fired considering his team has not shown up whatsoever in back-to-back blowout losses to the Bears and Vikings. That Monday night Week 13 loss to Pittsburgh in which Cincinnati blew a 17-0 lead just wrecked that team’s psyche. Detroit can’t win the NFC North, meaning its drought of winning a division title is now 24 years. A wild-card spot is possible. Long story, short the Lions need to win out. Their best chance is finish in a multi-team tie at 10-6, where they would have the edge over teams like the Carolina Panthers and Seattle Seahawks based on conference record. The Lions would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker against the Falcons. I think Jim Caldwell’s a goner if Detroit misses the playoffs. If you’ve seen the Bengals play the past two weeks, they should be your No. 1 fade candidate in the league right now.

  • Lions are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Free NFL Pick: Lions -4.5Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Perhaps its time for the Bengals to see what A.J. McCarron could do before he hits potential free agency? Andy Dalton has been truly horrific the past two weeks. He was 11-for-22 for 113 yards with two picks in Sunday’s 34-7 loss in Minnesota. His first interception was a throw into triple coverage in the middle of the field and resulted in a pick-six. Dalton was benched for McCarron with Cincinnati trailing 34-0 in the fourth quarter. The Bengals were without rookie running back Joe Mixon as he was in the concussion protocol and it remains to be seen if he’ll play here. Detroit beat visiting Chicago 20-10 last Saturday. Matthew Stafford became the first quarterback in NFL history to throw for 34,000 yards before the age of 30 in the game. Stafford completed 25 of 33 passes for 237 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. He now has 34,223 passing yards in his career. He also completed better than 75 percent of his passes for the third straight game. Next up on the all-time passing list is No. 30 Steve DeBerg, who had 34,241 yards in his career. This is the first time since 1999-2000 that Lions will go back-to-back seasons with at least eight wins.

  • Under is 9-2 in Lions last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 15-7 in Bengals last 22 games overall.
Free NFL Pick: Under 43Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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