NFL Week 15 Pick: Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, December 13, 2017 5:58 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2017 5:58 PM UTC

The Titans haven’t been around that long so this is only the fifth meeting in this series. The Niners won the last one in 2013 to even it up 2-2. Survivor Pick: San Francisco.

Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers (-2, 44)

If the 49ers aren’t careful, they are going to lose a Top-5 draft pick in 2018. But you know what? They probably could care less because they have found their franchise quarterback in Jimmy Garoppolo. He has led back-to-back road wins in Chicago and Houston – granted, not exactly the two best teams in the NFL, but that Niners offense looks vastly better under Jimmy G. He has been a great bet in his short time as a starter too. He has only made four of them, the past two weeks and then the first two weeks of the 2016 season with New England. Garoppolo is 4-0 straight-up and ATS. The Titans (8-5) would be the AFC’ssbr nfl o top wild-card team as things stand but are just a game behind Jacksonville in the AFC South. Tennessee gets to play its final two games at home, but they are against the Rams and Jaguars so that’s tough. QB Marcus Mariota suffered a knee sprain in last Sunday’s loss in Arizona but it wasn’t expected to cost him much practice time this week and he’s going to play. Ditto left tackle Taylor Lewan, who had a MRI on Monday that revealed back spasms, which will not lead to surgery or a long-term issue. He should be in there vs. the Niners. I’m leaning Titans only as they need this game. The Niners don’t.

  • Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • 49ers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Free NFL Pick: Titans +2Best Line Offered: Bet365

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Speaking of Mariota, he has largely regressed this year. In the 12-7 loss to Arizona, he was just 16 for 31 for 159 yards with two interceptions and ran for only 11 yards. He has a total of eight picks in his past four games and hasn’t topped 184 yards passing in his previous three. To be fair, it’s a run-heavy offense but that’s just not good enough for the former Heisman winner. Mike Mularkey and his coaching staff need to make Mariota feel more comfortable and the QB’s supporting cast has to step up. Tennessee turned the ball over nine times in its last four games while forcing just two. Meanwhile, Garoppolo has taken four sacks in two games and has shown an ability to make strong, accurate throws under duress. The 49ers have allowed 39 sacks this season, the seventh-most in the NFL. Niners kicker Robbie Gould has been a great pick up by converting 30-of-32 field goals and 18-of-19 PATs. On top of being the 49ers leading scorer, Gould has been 13-for-13 in field goals over the last five contests. Defensively, the 49ers are ranked 25th overall – 25th vs. the run, and 20th vs. the pass. But they’ve allowed just 14 points (vs. Chicago) and 16 (vs. Houston) in back-to-back wins.

  • Under is 10-1 in 49ers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 road games.
Free NFL Pick: Under 44Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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